Races · house · 2022 · PA
house · open seat

Matt Cartwright vs Jim Bognet

Lean R · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Lean R

lean-r

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-23
Total IE spending
$41.7M
For candidates
$1.4M
Against candidates
$40.3M
Latest filing: 11/23/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
$843K for · $24.3M against
Cash on hand
$96K
Total raised (cycle)
$3.0M
Total spent
$3.1M
Debts
$6K
Source: FEC
$519K for · $16.0M against
Cash on hand
$53K
Total raised (cycle)
$5.4M
Total spent
$5.5M
Debts
$243K
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll last market quote rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/6/2026 Lean R via pvi