Races · house · 2022 · PA
house · open seat
Mercury Public Affairs vs Mike Doyle
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely D
likely-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-12-28Total IE spending
$1.6M
For candidates
$1.4M
Against candidates
$179K
Latest filing: 12/28/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Summer Lee (D)
$1.4M for ·
$49K against
Cash on hand
$24K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.9M
Total spent
$1.8M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $500K for MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION Super PAC
- $328K for PENNSYLVANIA UNITED PAC
- $325K for WFP NATIONAL PAC Super PAC
- $112K for PROTECTING OUR VOTE PAC Super PAC
- $92K for WOMEN VOTE! Super PAC
Mike Doyle (R)
$996 for ·
$130K against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$205K
Total spent
$205K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $130K against WOMEN VOTE! Super PAC
- $750 for CITZENS FOR AMERICAN ENERGY FEDERAL PAC Super PAC
- $246 for PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Likely D via pvi