Races · house · 2022 · PA

house · open seat

Ashley Ehasz vs Brian Fitzpatrick

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Tossup — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Tossup

tossup

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-08

Total IE spending

$1.3M

For candidates

$865K

Against candidates

$449K

Latest filing: 11/8/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)

$692K for · $449K against

Cash on hand

$1.5M

Total raised (cycle)

$4.6M

Total spent

$3.1M

Debts

$63K

Source: FEC

$240K against PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Super PAC
$227K for DEFENDING MAIN STREET SUPERPAC INC. Super PAC
$195K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
$144K for EDF ACTION VOTES Super PAC
$120K against LOSERS AND SUCKERS VOTE Super PAC

Ashley Ehasz (D)

$172K for · $246 against

Cash on hand

$6K

Total raised (cycle)

$971K

Total spent

$964K

Debts

Source: FEC

$159K for PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Super PAC
$9K for DEMOCRATIC JEWISH OUTREACH PA PAC
$3K for INDIVISIBLE ACTION Super PAC
$1K for JDCA PAC Super PAC
$246 against PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC PAC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago

Rating history (1 change)

5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi