Races · house · 2022 · NY
house · open seat
Josh Riley vs Marc Molinaro
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-08Total IE spending
$39.9M
For candidates
$2.0M
Against candidates
$37.8M
Latest filing: 11/8/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Marc Molinaro (R)
$1.0M for ·
$22.0M against
Cash on hand
$62K
Total raised (cycle)
$2.5M
Total spent
$2.4M
Debts
$59K
Source: FEC
- $13.1M against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $9.0M against DCCC Party
- $853K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $62K for TZEDEK PAC Super PAC
- $52K for GOVERNING MAJORITY EDUCATION FUND PAC
Josh Riley (D)
$1.0M for ·
$15.8M against
Cash on hand
$17K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.2M
Total spent
$4.2M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $8.8M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $7.0M against NRCC Party
- $472K for HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $199K for 1199 SERVICE EMPLOYEES INT'L UNION FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION FUND PAC
- $160K for RURAL FREEDOM NETWORK Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi