Races · house · 2022 · NY
house · open seat
Global Strategy Group vs Mike Lawler
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-06Total IE spending
$33.4M
For candidates
$3.1M
Against candidates
$30.3M
Latest filing: 11/6/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
$2.8M for ·
$20.3M against
Cash on hand
$112K
Total raised (cycle)
$6.1M
Total spent
$6.8M
Debts
$143K
Source: FEC
- $15.0M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $5.2M against NRCC Party
- $2.0M for PA LAWYER FUND Super PAC
- $405K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
- $214K for DMFI PAC Super PAC
Mike Lawler (R)
$21K for ·
$8.6M against
Cash on hand
$38K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.6M
Total spent
$1.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $7.3M against VOTEVETS Super PAC
- $907K against OUR HUDSON PAC Super PAC
- $425K against DCCC Party
- $21K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $58 against NO SURRENDER NY Super PAC
$320K for ·
$1.4M against
Cash on hand
$256
Total raised (cycle)
$904K
Total spent
$904K
Debts
$18K
Source: FEC
- $985K against POLICE BENEVOLENT ASSOCIATION OF THE CITY OF NEW YORK INC. PAC
- $418K against OUR HUDSON PAC Super PAC
- $320K for WFP NATIONAL PAC Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi