Races · house · 2022 · NY
house · open seat
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vs Tina Forte
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Safe D
safe-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-07Total IE spending
$287K
For candidates
$5K
Against candidates
$282K
Latest filing: 11/7/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
$5K for ·
$282K against
Cash on hand
$5.2M
Total raised (cycle)
$12.5M
Total spent
$11.3M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $128K against HONORING AMERICAN LAW ENFORCEMENT PAC Super PAC
- $128K against LAW ENFORCEMENT FOR A SAFER AMERICA PAC Super PAC
- $27K against DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC Super PAC
- $4K for WAY TO LEAD PAC Super PAC
- $448 against CONCERNED CITIZEN Super PAC
Desi Cuellar (I)
$339 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$1K
Total raised (cycle)
$273K
Total spent
$272K
Debts
$26K
Source: FEC
- $339 for CONCERNED CITIZEN Super PAC
Tina Forte (?)
$0 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$5K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.5M
Total spent
$1.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Safe D via pvi