Races · house · 2022 · NJ
house · open seat
Tom Malinowski vs Tom Kean Jr.
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-28Total IE spending
$8.8M
For candidates
$1.6M
Against candidates
$7.2M
Latest filing: 11/28/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Tom Malinowski (D)
$1.4M for ·
$5.7M against
Cash on hand
$17K
Total raised (cycle)
$9.0M
Total spent
$9.0M
Debts
$26K
Source: FEC
- $2.8M against NRCC Party
- $2.0M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $875K against DEFEND US PAC Super PAC
- $811K for MODERATE PARTY INDEPENDENT FUND Super PAC
- $352K for WFP NATIONAL PAC Super PAC
Tom Kean Jr. (R)
$236K for ·
$1.5M against
Cash on hand
$94K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.5M
Total spent
$4.5M
Debts
$8K
Source: FEC
- $1.4M against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $128K against MODERATE PARTY INDEPENDENT FUND Super PAC
- $125K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $58K for FIREFIGHTERS SUPPORT ASSOCIATION PAC Super PAC
- $52K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi