Races · house · 2022 · NJ
house · open seat
Change Research vs Grassroots Targeting
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely D
likely-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-10-04Total IE spending
$777
For candidates
$777
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 10/4/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Darius Mayfield (R)
$758 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$6K
Total raised (cycle)
$266K
Total spent
$260K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $758 for NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC PAC
$19 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$69K
Total raised (cycle)
$930K
Total spent
$969K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $10 for SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Super PAC
- $9 for PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Likely D via pvi