Races · house · 2022 · North Carolina
house · open seat
Scott Huffman vs Dan Bishop
Where this race stands
VerifiedLikely R · model 99% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+10) suggests Likely R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+22.7 with an 80% CI ranging from R+34.7 (10th pctile) to R+10.7 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · likely-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +22.7
80% CI: R +34.7 → R +10.7 · win prob 1%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+39.8 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetRDan Bishop0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DScott Huffman0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-10-28Dan BishopH0NC09187 ↗
Receipts
$1.9M
Disburse
$704.8K
Cash on hand
$1.3M
Debts
$17.3K
Top industries
Casinos / gambling$6.4K
Casinos / gambling · $6.4K
- Station Casinos, LLC · $6.4K
Individuals $6.4K · PACs $0
Education$6.4K
Education · $6.4K
- Cf Smith Property Group · $6.4K
Individuals $6.4K · PACs $0
Top contributors
GABY FOUNDATION$11.6K
ME DEVCO NC LTD$11.4K
APG$10.5K
VETERANS GUARDIAN$9.9K
DALE CLINE, CPA, PLLC$8.7K
Scott Huffman
Receipts
$97.7K
Disburse
$101.5K
Cash on hand
$732.68
Debts
$0
Top industries
Computers / electronics$795.22
Computers / electronics · $795.22
- Ibm Corporation · $795.22
Individuals $795.22 · PACs $0
Health professionals$500
Health professionals · $500
- El Camino Hospital · $500
Individuals $500 · PACs $0
Insurance$250
Insurance · $250
- Alliance Insurance · $250
Individuals $250 · PACs $0
Top contributors
MAINSTAY MARKETS$1.4K
EMORY$1.0K
IBM CORPORATION$795.22
NOVANT HEALTH$500
EL CAMINO HOSPITAL$500
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$3.2K
D side
$8.68 · 0%
R side
$3.2K · 100%
Top spender
NATIONAL RIFLE ASSO…
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $1.8K | 56% | for Dan Bishop |
| HOUSE FREEDOM FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $883.5 | 28% | for Dan Bishop |
| CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC pac · boosts R
| R | $484.9 | 15% | for Dan Bishop |
| CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION super pac · boosts R
| R | $14.13 | 0% | for Dan Bishop |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $8.68 | 0% | against Dan Bishop |
Editorial ratings · 6 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R6
Safe R · 6 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Feb 22
- DDHQ · Jul 19
- The Economist · Sep 27
- 538 · Jun 29
- Inside Elections · Mar 17
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Mar 1
The Cook Political Report
Safe RDDHQ
Safe RThe Economist
Safe R538
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2022-10-28
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks