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Races · house · 2022 · Indiana
house · open seat

Gary Snyder vs Jim Banks

← Indiana houseIndiana house →
Safe RR +31.5 forecast· 0 polls · 0 markets
Model's final pre-election call · win probabilitypoliagg-v34 · final pre-election call
1% Snyder (D)
99% Banks (R)
R+15R+5TIEDD+5D+15
Model's predicted final margin R +31.5 · 80% CI R+43.5 → R+19.5
Actual result R+35.2 · backtest (race already called)
Momentum
—
insufficient data
Tipping-point P
0.0%
Decisive for chamber control
Market · D-side
—
Cross-platform consensus
News articles · 30d
—
no recent coverage
Where this race stands
Verified

Safe R · model 99% R

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+16) suggests Safe R.

The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+31.5 with an 80% CI ranging from R+43.5 (10th pctile) to R+19.5 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.

CITATIONS · safe-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +31.5
80% CI: R +43.5 → R +19.5 · win prob 1%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
Polls used0
Days to electionpassed
Actual resultR+35.2
Residual σ6.00pt
Generated7/1/2026

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 3 candidates with no endorsements yet
RJim Banks0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DGary Snyder0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
INathan Gotsch0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-12-28
Jim BanksH6IN03229 ↗
Receipts
$2.7M
Disburse
$1.8M
Cash on hand
$1.3M
Debts
$27.1K
Top industries
Securities & investment$14.5K
Education$7.4K
Top contributors
BLACKSTONE$14.5K
ULINE$11.6K
GLENBROOK DODGE CHRYSLER JEEP$11.6K
IU HEALTH FORT WAYNE$8.5K
KOCH ENTERPRISES, INC.$7.9K
Nathan GotschOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$151.7K
Disburse
$151.1K
Cash on hand
$523.72
Debts
$83.6K
Top industries
TV / movies / music$1.0K
Top contributors
EQUITY INVESTMENT$5.8K
CHICH MEDIA GROUP$2.1K
HOPE4FAMILIES$1.3K
SELF ENPLOYED$1.2K
MM&L INT'L$1.1K
Gary SnyderOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$74.4K
Disburse
$74.4K
Cash on hand
$32.23
Debts
$0
Top industries
Publishing / news$2.9K
Govt employees$1.0K
Pharma / health products$500
Top contributors
THE BAUPOST GROUP$2.9K
RADIATION ONCOLOGY ASSOCIATES$2.9K
TEAMSTERS UNION$2.8K
BOSE PUBLIC AFFAIRS GROUP$2.3K
STUCKY, LAUER & YOUND$2.1K

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$152.3K
D side
$0 · 0%
R side
$152.3K · 100%
Top spender
GRASSROOTS ACTION FUND
For / against split
For Banks $152.3K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
GRASSROOTS ACTION FUNDR$150.0K99%for Jim Banks
DISABLED VETERANS PACR$1.4K1%for Jim Banks
THE GUARDIAN FUNDR$9021%for Jim Banks

Editorial ratings · 6 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe R6
The Cook Political Report
Safe R
Oct 4
DDHQ
Safe R
Jul 19
The Economist
Safe R
Sep 27
FiveThirtyEight
Safe R
Jul 5
Inside Elections
Safe R
Oct 12
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
Oct 4

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 11, 2026Safe Rmodel
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2022-12-28
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks