Races · house · 2022 · Florida
house · open seat
Corinna Robinson vs Brian Mast
Where this race stands
VerifiedLean R · model 87% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+7) suggests Lean R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+6.8 with an 80% CI ranging from R+18.8 (10th pctile) to D+5.2 (90th pctile), giving R a 87% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · lean-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +6.8
80% CI: R +18.8 → D +5.2 · win prob 13%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+27.0 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetRBrian Mast0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DCorinna Robinson0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-11-28Brian MastH6FL18097 ↗
Receipts
$6.3M
Disburse
$5.2M
Cash on hand
$2.1M
Debts
$0
Top industries
Health professionals$10.8K
Health professionals · $10.8K
- Jupiter Medical Group · $10.8K
Individuals $10.8K · PACs $0
Real estate$6.3K
Real estate · $6.3K
- Noble Properties · $6.3K
Individuals $6.3K · PACs $0
Insurance$5.8K
Insurance · $5.8K
- Alliant Insurance Services · $5.8K
Individuals $5.8K · PACs $0
Top contributors
INFORMATION REQUESTED PER BEST EFFORTS$19.8K
JUPITER MEDICAL GROUP$10.8K
SIMPLE LIFE$10.0K
SINTAVIA$8.7K
RAIA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT$7.5K
Corinna Robinson
Receipts
$82.4K
Disburse
$80.3K
Cash on hand
$2.0K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Education$6.2K
Education · $6.2K
- Keiser University · $3.3K
- Summit Partners · $2.9K
Individuals $6.2K · PACs $0
Real estate$663.6
Real estate · $663.6
- Keller Williams Realty of Port St. Luc · $663.6
Individuals $663.6 · PACs $0
Top contributors
KEISER UNIVERSITY$3.3K
KRUX INC$2.9K
K ROWE INVESTMENTS LLC$2.9K
FIELDS AUTO GROUP$2.9K
SUMMIT PARTNERS$2.9K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$94.1K
D side
$0 · 0%
R side
$94.1K · 100%
Top spender
AMERICAN VETERANS I…
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMERICAN VETERANS INITIATIVE PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $91.2K | 97% | for Brian Mast |
| THE GUARDIAN FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $2.8K | 3% | for Brian Mast |
| ENVIRONMENT AMERICA ACTION FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $107.86 | 0% | for Brian Mast |
Editorial ratings · 6 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R6
Safe R · 6 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Apr 24
- DDHQ · Jul 19
- The Economist · Sep 27
- 538 · Jun 29
- Inside Elections · May 16
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Apr 26
The Cook Political Report
Safe RDDHQ
Safe RThe Economist
Safe R538
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2022-11-28
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks