Races · house · 2022 · Florida
house · open seat
Shante Munns vs Daniel Webster
Where this race stands
VerifiedLikely R · model 99% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+8) suggests Likely R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+19.3 with an 80% CI ranging from R+31.3 (10th pctile) to R+7.3 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · likely-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +19.3
80% CI: R +31.3 → R +7.3 · win prob 1%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+27.7 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 3 candidates with no endorsements yetRDaniel Webster0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DShante Munns0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
IKevin Porter0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-08-24Daniel WebsterH0FL08208 ↗
Receipts
$783.3K
Disburse
$766.1K
Cash on hand
$227.9K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Insurance$36.4K
Insurance · $36.4K
- Frontline Homeowners Insurance · $13.6K
- Phoenix American Insurance Group · $11.2K
- Frontline Homeowner's Insurance · $5.8K
- Frontline Insurance · $5.8K
Individuals $36.4K · PACs $0
Real estate$11.6K
Real estate · $11.6K
- Lee Properties, INC. · $11.6K
Individuals $11.6K · PACs $0
Casinos / gambling$11.6K
Casinos / gambling · $11.6K
- Van Kampen-pierre Asset Mgmt. CO. · $11.6K
Individuals $11.6K · PACs $0
Top contributors
FRONTLINE HOMEOWNERS INSURANCE$13.6K
LEE PROPERTIES, INC.$11.6K
SEA AND SHORELINE, LLC$11.6K
VAN KAMPEN-PIERRE ASSET MGMT. CO.$11.6K
HOLDING COMPANY OF THE VILLAGES$11.2K
Shante Munns
Receipts
$20.8K
Disburse
$20.7K
Cash on hand
$85.82
Debts
$5.0K
Top industries
Real estate$1.0K
Real estate · $1.0K
- Tubbs Real Estate LLC · $1.0K
Individuals $1.0K · PACs $0
Top contributors
RONNIE CLAY DELK PA$1.0K
TUBBS REAL ESTATE LLC$1.0K
TERRA ECHELON$250
Kevin Porter
Receipts
$14.7K
Disburse
$14.7K
Cash on hand
$0
Debts
$13.0K
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$57.6K
D side
$15.7K · 27%
R side
$42.0K · 73%
Top spender
CONGRESSIONAL LEADE…
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $39.8K | 69% | for Daniel Webster |
| REAL REPUBLICAN REFORM PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $15.7K | 27% | against Daniel Webster |
| CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICANS FOR RESPONSIBLE REPRESENTATION pac · boosts R
| R | $2.1K | 4% | for Daniel Webster |
Editorial ratings · 6 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R6
Safe R · 6 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Apr 24
- DDHQ · Jul 19
- The Economist · Sep 27
- 538 · Jun 29
- Inside Elections · May 16
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Apr 26
The Cook Political Report
Safe RDDHQ
Safe RThe Economist
Safe R538
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2022-08-24
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks