Races · house · 2022 · CA

house · open seat

Asif Mahmood vs Young Kim

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Tossup — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Tossup

tossup

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-12-20

Total IE spending

$4.9M

For candidates

$3.0M

Against candidates

$1.9M

Latest filing: 12/20/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E

Young Kim (R)

$2.6M for · $188K against

Cash on hand

$399K

Total raised (cycle)

$9.3M

Total spent

$9.3M

Debts

$66K

Source: FEC

$1.8M for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND Super PAC
$305K for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
$211K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
$150K against 314 ACTION FUND Super PAC
$150K for NATIONAL VICTORY ACTION FUND Super PAC

Asif Mahmood (D)

$408K for · $1.7M against

Cash on hand

$19K

Total raised (cycle)

$3.7M

Total spent

$3.7M

Debts

$500

Source: FEC

$1.7M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
$174K for DEMOCRATS SERVE Super PAC
$158K for UNITED WE CAN Super PAC
$35K for PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PAC Super PAC
$22K for HEALTHCARE FOR ACTION PAC PAC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago

Rating history (1 change)

5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi