Races · house · 2022 · CA
house · open seat
Quaye Quartey vs Mike Garcia
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tilt D
tilt-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-12-20Total IE spending
$11.7M
For candidates
$5.1M
Against candidates
$6.6M
Latest filing: 12/20/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Christy Smith (D)
$414K for ·
$6.2M against
Cash on hand
$52K
Total raised (cycle)
$3.9M
Total spent
$4.1M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $4.7M against NRCC Party
- $1.2M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $189K against WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC Super PAC
- $143K for COMMUNITIES FOR A NEW CALIFORNIA C4 PAC
- $141K against AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC Super PAC
Mike Garcia (R)
$4.5M for ·
$383K against
Cash on hand
$117K
Total raised (cycle)
$7.2M
Total spent
$7.5M
Debts
$129K
Source: FEC
- $3.6M for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND Super PAC
- $385K for AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC Super PAC
- $255K for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
- $229K against DEFEAT SEDITIONISTS Super PAC
- $120K for SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC PAC
Quaye Quartey (D)
$184K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$40K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.2M
Total spent
$1.2M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $184K for VOTEVETS Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tilt D via pvi