Races · house · 2020 · Nevada
house · open seat
Susie Lee vs Dan Rodimer
Where this race stands
VerifiedTossup · model 99% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+1) suggests Tossup.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+14.5 with an 80% CI ranging from D+2.5 (10th pctile) to D+26.5 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · tossup
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +14.5
80% CI: D +2.5 → D +26.5 · win prob 99%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | D+3.0 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 4 candidates with no endorsements yetDSusie Lee0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RDan Rodimer0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
LSteve Brown0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
IEdward Bridges III0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-12-31Dan RodimerH0NV03132 ↗
Receipts
$3.2M
Disburse
$3.1M
Cash on hand
$20.8K
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Susie LeeH6NV04020 ↗
Receipts
$4.8M
Disburse
$4.8M
Cash on hand
$28.7K
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$9.0M
D side
$5.3M · 58%
R side
$3.7M · 42%
Top spender
DCCC
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC party · boosts D
| D | $4.3M | 48% | against Dan Rodimer |
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $2.5M | 28% | against Susie Lee |
| AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC.(AFP ACTION) super pac · boosts R
| R | $1.1M | 12% | for Dan Rodimer |
| FOR OUR FUTURE super pac · boosts D
| D | $560.0K | 6% | for Susie Lee |
| HOUSE MAJORITY PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $350.3K | 4% | against Dan Rodimer |
| GUN OWNERS OF AMERICA, INC. pac · boosts R
| R | $154.4K | 2% | for Dan Rodimer |
| WIN JUSTICE super pac · boosts D
| D | $42.0K | 0% | for Susie Lee |
| SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION POLITICAL EDUCATION AND ACTION FUND pac · boosts D
| D | $9.8K | 0% | for Susie Lee |
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Likely D1
Likely D · 1 rater
- Inside Elections · Oct 27
Lean D2
Lean D · 2 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Nov 1
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 1
The Cook Political Report
Lean DInside Elections
Likely DSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-12-31
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks