Races · house · 2020 · Kansas
house · open seat
Sharice Davids vs Amanda Adkins
Where this race stands
VerifiedTilt D · model 99% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+2) suggests Tilt D.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+18.5 with an 80% CI ranging from D+6.5 (10th pctile) to D+30.5 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · tilt-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +18.5
80% CI: D +6.5 → D +30.5 · win prob 99%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | D+10.0 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 48 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet9
39
Endorsements tracked
Sharice Davids9 · 19%
Amanda Adkins39 · 81%
Total48
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
RAmanda Adkins39 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
Elected officials20
Federal 10State 8Local 2
Elected officials · 20
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
- Donald Trump · president of the United States
- Mike Pence · vice president of the United States
- Jene Vickrey · state representative and former state House majority leader and speaker pro tempore
- Jeb Bush · former governor of Florida (1999–2007)
- governor of Kansas · mer speechwriter for former governor of Kansas Kathleen Sebelius
- Bob Dole · former U.S. senator (R-KS) and 1996 Republican presidential nominee
- Roy Blunt · U.S. senator from Missouri and former U.S. representative (MO-07) (1997–2011) and Missouri secretary of state (1985–1993)
- Ted Cruz · U.S. senator from Texas
- Mike Pompeo · o, wife of Mike Pompeo, U.S. Secretary of State and former CIA director (2017–2018) and U.S. representative (R-KS-04) (2011–2017)
- Jeff Colyer · former governor (2018–2019) and lieutenant governor (2011–2018)
- Pete Buttigieg · former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate
- Steve Fitzgerald · former state senator (2013–2018) and 2014 and 2018 Republican candidate in KS-02
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers · U.S. representative (WA-05)
- Kevin Jones · former state representative (2013–2019)
- Lynn Jenkins · former U.S. representative (KS-02) (2009–2019) and Kansas State Treasurer (2003–2008)
- Michelle De La Isla · mayor of Topeka
- Sam Graves · U.S. representative (MO-06)
- Todd Tiahrt · 2014 and 2017 Republican candidate in KS-04, former U.S. representative (R-KS-04) (1995–2011), and Republican candidate in 2010 U.S. Senate election in Kansas
- Tom Osborne · former U.S. representative (NE-03) (2001–2007)
Other11
Other · 11
- Americans for Prosperity · (AFP) Action
- Associated General Contractors of America
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Let America Vote
- Maggie's List
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- Sierra Club
- University of Kansas · raduate teaching assistant at the University of Kansas
- Walmart · Williams, local Walmart manager
- With Honor
Organizations7
Organizations · 7
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus · Bold PAC
- Family Policy Alliance of Kansas
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- National Association for Gun Rights
- National Right to Life Committee
- PODER PAC
- Republican Main Street Partnership · PAC
Newspapers1
Newspapers · 1
- Kansas City Star
DSharice Davids9 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
Other4
Other · 4
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Let America Vote
- Sierra Club
Organizations3
Organizations · 3
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus · Bold PAC
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- PODER PAC
Elected officials2
Federal 1State 0Local 1
Elected officials · 2
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
- Pete Buttigieg · former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20Amanda AdkinsH0KS03236 ↗
Receipts
$2.2M
Disburse
$2.2M
Cash on hand
$42.7K
Debts
$5.0K
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
ECCO SELECT$32.0K
TIFEC, LLC$22.4K
COMMUNITY VOLUNTEER$21.3K
HERZOG COMPANIES$19.6K
KIEWIT$17.8K
Sharice DavidsH8KS03155 ↗
Receipts
$5.8M
Disburse
$5.3M
Cash on hand
$479.2K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$15.7K
Lawyers / law firms · $15.7K
- Dentons US LLP · $15.7K
Individuals $15.7K · PACs $0
Securities & investment$8.4K
Securities & investment · $8.4K
- Bain Capital · $8.4K
Individuals $8.4K · PACs $0
Education$7.1K
Education · $7.1K
- New York University · $7.1K
Individuals $7.1K · PACs $0
Commercial banks$7.0K
Commercial banks · $7.0K
- Wells Fargo · $7.0K
Individuals $7.0K · PACs $0
Top contributors
DENTONS US LLP$15.7K
JOHNSON COUNTY PARK AND RECREATION DIS$8.5K
SERVICE MANAGEMENT GROUP$8.4K
BAIN CAPITAL$8.4K
INDEPENDENT MAG$7.6K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$1.7M
D side
$894.3K · 53%
R side
$801.3K · 47%
Top spender
HEARTLAND USA PAC
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEARTLAND USA PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $765.0K | 45% | for Amanda Adkins |
| HOUSE MAJORITY PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $593.4K | 35% | against Amanda Adkins |
| CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE super pac · boosts D
| D | $299.9K | 18% | for Sharice Davids |
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $20.0K | 1% | against Sharice Davids |
| NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $6.2K | 0% | for Amanda Adkins |
| NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $5.1K | 0% | for Amanda Adkins |
| KANSANS FOR LIFE FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE pac · boosts R
| R | $5.0K | 0% | for Amanda Adkins |
| TOGETHER WE THRIVE super pac · boosts D
| D | $750 | 0% | for Sharice Davids |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $115.05 | 0% | for Sharice Davids |
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe D3
Safe D · 3 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Oct 20
- Inside Elections · Oct 15
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Oct 14
The Cook Political Report
Safe DInside Elections
Safe DSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-11-20
Endorsements48 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks