Races · house · 2020 · Illinois
house · open seat
Illinois house
Where this race stands
VerifiedLean D · model 99% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+5) suggests Lean D.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+28.8 with an 80% CI ranging from D+16.8 (10th pctile) to D+40.8 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · lean-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +28.8
80% CI: D +16.8 → D +40.8 · win prob 99%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | D+46.3 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 98 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yet98
Endorsements tracked
Raja Krishnamoorthi98 · 100%
Republican0 · 0%
Total98
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
DRaja Krishnamoorthi98 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States
Other45
Other · 45
- 314 Action
- AFSCME
- Bend the Arc
- Brand New Congress
- Center for Popular Democracy
- Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions
- Club for Growth
- Democratic Socialists of America · Chicago, Illinois, chapter
- DuPage County · Page County board member
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Everytown for Gun Safety
- FreedomWorks
- Friends of the Earth Action
- Giffords
- Gloria Steinem · feminist, journalist, activist
- House Freedom Fund
- Human Rights Campaign
- Illinois District 200 · nt of the Illinois District 200 school board
- Illinois District 90 · of the Illinois District 90 school board
- Independent Voters of Illinois Independent Precinct Organization
- Indivisible
- J Street
- Leslie Munger · former Comptroller of Illinois
- Marie Newman · 2020 Democratic nominee for Illinois's 3rd Congressional District
- Mark Meadows · current White House Chief of Staff
- Moms Demand Action
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- National Organization for Women
- Oak Park · chanan, Oak Park Village Trustee
- Our Revolution · Buffalo Grove, Illinois, chapter
- Planned Parenthood
- Population Connection
- River Forest · River Forest Village Trustee
- Rossana Rodriguez-Sanchez · Chicago, Illinois alderwoman from Ward 33 since 2019
- Sierra Club
- Stephen Moore · writer and co-founder of Club for Growth
- Sunrise Movement
- Susan B. Anthony List
- The Chicago Maroon
- The New York Young Republican Club
- The People for Bernie Sanders
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce
- United Steelworkers
- renal · nise White, renal technician
Elected officials29
Federal 15State 6Local 0
Elected officials · 29
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States
- Donald Trump · 45th president of the United States
- Joe Biden · 47th vice president of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President
- Kevin McCarthy · House Minority Leader and U.S. Representative from California's 23rd congressional district
- Evelyn Sanguinetti · former lieutenant governor of Illinois
- Jeanne Ives · former state representative and Republican primary candidate for Governor of Illinois in 2018
- Dick Durbin · US Senator from Illinois
- Elizabeth Warren · US Senator from Massachusetts and former US presidential candidate in 2020
- Kamala Harris · U.S. senator from California and 2020 Democratic vice presidential nominee
- Marco Rubio · U.S. senator from Florida
- Tammy Duckworth · US Senator from Illinois
- Ted Cruz · U.S. senator from Texas
- Daniel Biss · former Illinois state senator, Democratic gubernatorial candidate in 2018
- Andy Manar · state senator
- Anna Moeller · Illinois House Representative for the 43rd district
- Bill Foster · representative for Illinois's 11th congressional district
- Cori Bush · activist, organizer, nurse, pastor, Democratic candidate for U.S. Representative from MO-01 ( 2018, 2020 )
- Don Manzullo · former Representative IL-16 (1993–2013)
- Jan Schakowsky · representative for Illinois's 9th congressional district
- Jesús "Chuy" García · representative for Illinois's 4th congressional district
- Jim Jordan · U.S. representative from Ohio's 4th congressional district
- Kelly Cassidy · state representative
- Lauren Underwood · representative for Illinois's 14th congressional district
- Melinda Bush · state senator
- Mike Frerichs · Illinois state treasurer
- Paula Jean Swearengin · social and environmental activist; candidate for U.S. Senate from West Virginia in 2018 and 2020
- Peter Roskam · former U.S. representative from Illinois's 6th congressional district
- Robin Kelly · representative for Illinois's 2nd congressional district
- Sean Casten · representative for Illinois's 6th congressional district
Organizations19
Organizations · 19
- Pat Brady · former Chair of the Illinois Republican Party
- AFL–CIO · s AFL–CIO
- Alliance for Retired Americans
- Congressional Black Caucus
- Council for a Livable World
- Family Research Council
- Federation of Teachers · Teachers
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
- J Street PAC
- Jeanette Taylor · alderman for the 20th ward in Chicago City Council
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Republican Congressional Committee
- National Right to Life Committee
- New Democrat Coalition
- Nurses Association · sociation
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Teamsters · onal Brotherhood of Teamsters
- United Food and Commercial Workers · (UFCW Local 881)
Newspapers4
Newspapers · 4
- Chicago Sun-Times
- Chicago Tribune
- Daily Herald
- News-Gazette
Celebrity1
Celebrity · 1
- Michael Shannon · actor, director, and musician
LPreston Gabriel Nelson0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20Raja KrishnamoorthiH6IL08147 ↗
Receipts
$6.4M
Disburse
$2.3M
Cash on hand
$8.4M
Debts
$992.51
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$186.6K
Lawyers / law firms · $186.6K
- Kirkland & Ellis LLP · $117.5K
- Kirkland & Ellis · $42.3K
- Kirkland and Ellis LLP · $13.8K
- Sidley Austin LLP · $13.0K
Individuals $186.6K · PACs $0
Education$40.7K
Education · $40.7K
- Northwestern University · $29.0K
- University of Chicago · $11.7K
Individuals $40.7K · PACs $0
Health professionals$15.5K
Health professionals · $15.5K
- Dupage Medical Group · $15.5K
Individuals $15.5K · PACs $0
Top contributors
KIRKLAND & ELLIS LLP$117.5K
KIRKLAND & ELLIS$42.3K
NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY$29.0K
NA$23.5K
UCA GROUP$16.2K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$875.05
D side
$875.05 · 100%
R side
$0 · 0%
Top spender
TOGETHER WE THRIVE
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOGETHER WE THRIVE super pac · boosts D
| D | $750 | 86% | for Raja Krishnamoorthi |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $115.05 | 13% | for Raja Krishnamoorthi |
| SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION super pac · boosts D
| D | $10 | 1% | for Raja Krishnamoorthi |
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe D3
Safe D · 3 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Oct 20
- Inside Elections · Oct 15
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Oct 19
The Cook Political Report
Safe DInside Elections
Safe DSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-11-20
Endorsements98 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks