Races · house · 2020 · Illinois
house · open seat
Betsy Dirksen Londrigan vs Rodney Davis
Where this race stands
VerifiedLean D · model 60% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+5) suggests Lean D.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+1.6 with an 80% CI ranging from R+10.4 (10th pctile) to D+13.6 (90th pctile), giving D a 60% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · lean-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +1.6
80% CI: R +10.4 → D +13.6 · win prob 60%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | Rodney Davis ( incumbent ) +8.9 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 72 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yet72
Endorsements tracked
Betsy Dirksen Londrigan0 · 0%
Rodney Davis72 · 100%
Total72
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
RRodney Davis72 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States
Other31
Other · 31
- AFSCME
- Bend the Arc
- Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions
- Club for Growth
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Everytown for Gun Safety
- FreedomWorks
- Giffords
- Gloria Steinem · feminist, journalist, activist
- House Freedom Fund
- Human Rights Campaign
- Independent Voters of Illinois Independent Precinct Organization
- Indivisible
- J Street
- Leslie Munger · former Comptroller of Illinois
- Marie Newman · 2020 Democratic nominee for Illinois's 3rd Congressional District
- Mark Meadows · current White House Chief of Staff
- Moms Demand Action
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- National Organization for Women
- Our Revolution · Will County Progressives
- Planned Parenthood
- Sierra Club
- Stephen Moore · writer and co-founder of Club for Growth
- Sunrise Movement · DeKalb
- Susan B. Anthony List
- Tammy Duckworth · IL
- The New York Young Republican Club
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce
- United Steelworkers
Elected officials22
Federal 11State 4Local 0
Elected officials · 22
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States
- Donald Trump · 45th president of the United States
- Joe Biden · 47th vice president of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President
- Kevin McCarthy · House Minority Leader and U.S. Representative from California's 23rd congressional district
- Dick Durbin · U.S. senator from Illinois
- Kamala Harris · U.S. senator from California and 2020 Democratic vice presidential nominee
- Marco Rubio · U.S. senator from Florida
- Ted Cruz · U.S. senator from Texas
- Daniel Biss · former Illinois state senator, Democratic gubernatorial candidate in 2018
- Andy Manar · state senator
- Bill Foster · representative for Illinois's 11th congressional district
- Don Manzullo · former Representative IL-16 (1993–2013)
- Jan Schakowsky · representative for Illinois's 9th congressional district
- Jesús "Chuy" García · representative for Illinois's 4th congressional district
- Jim Jordan · U.S. representative from Ohio's 4th congressional district
- Kelly Cassidy · state representative
- Lauren Underwood · representative for Illinois's 14th congressional district
- Melinda Bush · state senator
- Mike Frerichs · Illinois state treasurer
- Peter Roskam · former U.S. representative from Illinois's 6th congressional district
- Robin Kelly · representative for Illinois's 2nd congressional district
- Sean Casten · representative for Illinois's 6th congressional district
Organizations16
Organizations · 16
- AFL–CIO · s AFL–CIO
- Alliance for Retired Americans
- Congressional Black Caucus
- Council for a Livable World
- Family Research Council
- Federation of Teachers · Teachers
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
- J Street PAC
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Republican Congressional Committee
- National Right to Life Committee
- New Democrat Coalition
- Nurses Association · sociation
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Teamsters · onal Brotherhood of Teamsters
- United Food and Commercial Workers · (UFCW Local 881)
Newspapers3
Newspapers · 3
- Chicago Tribune
- Daily Herald
- News-Gazette
DBetsy Dirksen Londrigan0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20Betsy Dirksen LondriganH8IL13150 ↗
Receipts
$5.4M
Disburse
$5.3M
Cash on hand
$15.9K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Education$75.9K
Education · $75.9K
- University of Illinois · $63.9K
- Northwestern University · $12.0K
Individuals $75.9K · PACs $0
Govt employees$25.7K
Govt employees · $25.7K
- State of Illinois · $25.7K
Individuals $25.7K · PACs $0
Lawyers / law firms$11.7K
Lawyers / law firms · $11.7K
- Clifford Law Offices · $11.7K
Individuals $11.7K · PACs $0
Top contributors
UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS$63.9K
SIMMONS HANLY CONROY$45.2K
MRHFM$34.0K
STATE OF ILLINOIS$25.7K
UIUC$18.7K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$8.4M
D side
$123.5K · 1%
R side
$8.3M · 99%
Top spender
NRCC
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRCC party · boosts R
| R | $4.6M | 55% | against Betsy Dirksen Londrigan |
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $3.0M | 36% | against Betsy Dirksen Londrigan |
| THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $610.4K | 7% | against Betsy Dirksen Londrigan |
| CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC pac · boosts D
| D | $120.0K | 1% | for Betsy Dirksen Londrigan |
| BEND THE ARC JEWISH ACTION INC pac · boosts D
| D | $3.3K | 0% | for Betsy Dirksen Londrigan |
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Tossup2
Tossup · 2 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Oct 20
- Inside Elections · Oct 15
Lean R1
Lean R · 1 rater
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Oct 19
The Cook Political Report
TossupInside Elections
TossupSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-11-20
Endorsements72 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks