Races · house · 2020 · Iowa
house · open seat
Cindy Axne vs David Young
Where this race stands
VerifiedTilt R · model 99% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+2) suggests Tilt R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+20.4 with an 80% CI ranging from D+8.4 (10th pctile) to D+32.4 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · tilt-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +20.4
80% CI: D +8.4 → D +32.4 · win prob 99%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | D+1.3 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 74 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet74
Endorsements tracked
Cindy Axne74 · 100%
David Young0 · 0%
Total74
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
DCindy Axne74 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · former president of the United States (2009–2017), former senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
Elected officials46
Federal 11State 29Local 6
Elected officials · 46
- Barack Obama · former president of the United States (2009–2017), former senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
- Adam Gregg · lieutenant governor of Iowa
- Kim Reynolds · governor of Iowa
- Patty Judge · former lieutenant governor of Iowa, former Iowa secretary of agriculture and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016
- Terry Branstad · former governor of Iowa
- Amy Klobuchar · U.S. senator from Minnesota
- Elizabeth Warren · U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present), 2020 candidate for president
- Joni Ernst · U.S. senator from Iowa
- Bob Dvorsky · former state senator, District 37
- Chris Brase · former state senator, District 46
- Frank Wood · former state representative, District 92, and former State Senator, District 42
- Tom Courtney · former state senator, District 44
- Abby Finkenauer · U.S. representative (IA-1)
- Amy Nielsen · state representative, District 77
- Ashley Hinson · state representative
- Bettendorf · her, mayor of Bettendorf
- Bobby Kaufmann · state representative
- Bobby Schilling · former U.S. representative from Illinois's 17th congressional district (2011–2013)
- Chris Cournoyer · state senator
- Cindy Axne · U.S. representative (IA-3)
- Dave Loebsack · U.S. representative (IA-2)
- Davenport · a, former mayor of Davenport
- David Jacoby · state representative, District 74
- Fort Madison · h, mayor of Fort Madison
- Jim Jordan · U.S. representative
- Jim Lykam · state senator, District 45
- Joe Bolkcom · state senator, District 43
- Keosauqua · esler, former mayor of Keosauqua
- Kevin Kinney · state senator, District 39
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks · state senator; nominee for this seat in 2008, 2010, and 2014
- Mark Lofgren · state senator
- Mary Gaskill · state representative, District 81
- Mary Mascher · state representative, District 86
- Mary Wolfe · state representative, District 98
- Mike Naig · Iowa Secretary of Agriculture
- Monica Kurth · state representative, District 89
- Osceola · Kedley, mayor of Osceola
- Phil Miller · former state representative, District 82
- Phyllis Thede · state representative, District 93
- Rich Taylor · state senator, District 42
- Roby Smith · state senator
- Rod Blum · former U.S. representative
- Sally Stutsman · former state representative, District 77
- Thom Hart · former mayor of Davenport
- Wes Breckenridge · state representative, District 29
- Zach Wahls · state senator, District 37
Other22
Other · 22
- Clinton County · er, Clinton County auditor
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Finkenauer · 100%
- Hart · 100%
- Hinson · 80–90%
- Human Rights Campaign
- Iowa's 2nd congressional district · for Iowa's 2nd congressional district in 2016 and 2018
- Johnson County · Johnson County attorney
- Knoxville · r, Knoxville city councillor
- Lee County · n, Lee County supervisor
- Maggie's List
- Mahaska County · ormer Mahaska County recorder
- Miller · Meeks—70–80%
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Rick Lincoln · Clinton County sheriff
- Rob Sand · Iowa state auditor
- Schilling · 40–50%
- Scholten · 100%
- Scott County · Scott County supervisor
- Sierra Club
- Susan B. Anthony List
Organizations6
Organizations · 6
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
- Giffords PAC
- Iowa Democratic Party · hair of the Iowa Democratic Party
- J Street PAC
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
RDavid Young0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
LBryan Holder0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20David YoungH4IA03115 ↗
Receipts
$3.2M
Disburse
$3.1M
Cash on hand
$88.3K
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Cindy AxneH8IA03124 ↗
Receipts
$6.3M
Disburse
$6.3M
Cash on hand
$19.5K
Debts
$24.6K
Top industries
Internet$28.6K
Internet · $28.6K
- Google · $18.2K
- Facebook · $10.4K
Individuals $28.6K · PACs $0
Education$21.0K
Education · $21.0K
- Harvard University · $12.4K
- University of Iowa · $8.6K
Individuals $21.0K · PACs $0
Real estate$17.2K
Real estate · $17.2K
- Knapp Properties · $17.2K
Individuals $17.2K · PACs $0
Top contributors
GOOGLE$18.2K
KNAPP PROPERTIES$17.2K
PROCTOR LANE$16.8K
HARVARD UNIVERSITY$12.4K
CENTENE$11.6K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$12.0M
D side
$9.5M · 79%
R side
$2.6M · 21%
Top spender
HOUSE MAJORITY PAC
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSE MAJORITY PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $3.7M | 31% | against David Young |
| DCCC party · boosts D
| D | $3.4M | 29% | against David Young |
| EDF ACTION VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $1.5M | 12% | against David Young |
| NRCC party · boosts R
| R | $1.1M | 9% | against Cindy Axne |
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $797.0K | 7% | against Cindy Axne |
| WOMEN VOTE! super pac · boosts D
| D | $768.0K | 6% | against David Young |
| AMERICAS PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $508.8K | 4% | against Cindy Axne |
| INDEPENDENT WOMEN'S VOICE pac · boosts R
| R | $59.9K | 0% | for David Young |
| PRIORITIES FOR IOWA POLITICAL FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $40.0K | 0% | against Cindy Axne |
| HUMANE SOCIETY LEGISLATIVE FUND pac · boosts D
| D | $8.1K | 0% | for Cindy Axne |
Editorial ratings · 4 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Lean D4
Lean D · 4 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Nov 1
- The Economist · Oct 1
- Inside Elections · Oct 27
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 1
The Cook Political Report
Lean DThe Economist
Lean DInside Elections
Lean DSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-11-20
Endorsements74 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks