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Races · house · 2020 · Georgia
house · open seat

Lindsay "Doc" Holliday vs Austin Scott

Safe RR +37.1 forecast· 0 polls · 0 markets
Model's final pre-election call · win probabilitypoliagg-v34 · final pre-election call
1% Holliday (D)
99% Scott (R)
R+15R+5TIEDD+5D+15
Model's predicted final margin R +37.1 · 80% CI R+49.1 → R+25.1
Actual result R+29.0 · backtest (race already called)
Momentum
insufficient data
Tipping-point P
0.0%
Decisive for chamber control
Market · D-side
Cross-platform consensus
News articles · 30d
no recent coverage
Where this race stands
Verified

Safe R · model 99% R

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+15) suggests Safe R.

The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+37.1 with an 80% CI ranging from R+49.1 (10th pctile) to R+25.1 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.

CITATIONS · safe-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +37.1
80% CI: R +49.1R +25.1 · win prob 1%
R+60R+30TIEDD+30D+60
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
Polls used0
Days to electionpassed
Actual resultR+29.0
Residual σ6.00pt
Generated7/1/2026

Endorsements · 216 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
89Holliday · 41%
Scott · 59%127
RAustin Scott127 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials80
Federal 39State 35Local 1
Other31
Organizations15
Celebrity1
DLindsay "Doc" Holliday89 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials62
Federal 31State 30Local 0
Other14
Organizations12
Celebrity1

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-10-22
Austin ScottH0GA08099 ↗
Receipts
$836.3K
Disburse
$730.7K
Cash on hand
$666.5K
Debts
$0
Real estate$5.6K
Lawyers / law firms$3.3K
Crop production$2.8K
JCB$6.3K
H2 CAPITAL, INC.$5.6K
HERB REALTY$5.6K
BUTLER AUTO GROUP$5.6K
ALLEN PRITCHETT & BASSETT, LLP$3.3K
Lindsay "Doc" HollidayOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$7.5K
Disburse
$5.2K
Cash on hand
$210.4
Debts
$0
No industry data.
No contributor data.

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$17.4K
D side
$750 · 4%
R side
$16.7K · 96%
Top spender
SOUTHEAST COTTON CO…
For / against split
Against Scott $750
For Scott $16.7K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
SOUTHEAST COTTON COMMITTEE (SECC) SOUTHERN COTTONGROWERS INC/SE COTTON GINNERS ASSNR$10.0K57%for Austin Scott
NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUNDR$6.2K35%for Austin Scott
TOGETHER WE THRIVED$7504%against Austin Scott
HUNTER ACTION FUND (HAF)R$506.53%for Austin Scott

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe R3
The Cook Political Report
Safe R
Jul 1
Inside Elections
Safe R
Jun 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
Jul 1

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 11, 2026Safe Rmodel
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-10-22
Endorsements216 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks