Races · house · 2020 · Georgia
house · open seat
Carolyn Bourdeaux vs Rich McCormick
Where this race stands
VerifiedLikely R · model 97% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+11) suggests Likely R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+11.0 with an 80% CI ranging from R+23.0 (10th pctile) to D+1.0 (90th pctile), giving R a 97% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · likely-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +11.0
80% CI: R +23.0 → D +1.0 · win prob 3%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | D+2.8 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 127 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yet127
Endorsements tracked
Carolyn Bourdeaux0 · 0%
Rich McCormick127 · 100%
Total127
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
RRich McCormick127 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials80
Federal 39State 35Local 1
Elected officials · 80
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
- Donald Trump · 45th president of the United States
- Joe Biden · 47th vice president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Delaware (1973-2009)
- Bob Trammell · state representative and House Minority Leader
- Stacey Abrams · 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, former state representative (2007–2017) and House Minority Leader (2011–2017)
- Steve Henson · state senator and Senate Minority Leader
- Newt Gingrich · former U.S. representative from GA-6, former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives
- Brian Kemp · governor of Georgia
- Jason Carter · nominee for governor of Georgia in 2014, former state senator (2010-2015), and grandson of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter
- Roy Barnes · former governor of Georgia (1999-2003), previously endorsed Carolyn Bourdeaux
- David Perdue · senator from Georgia
- Johnny Isakson · former senator from Georgia
- Max Cleland · former U.S. senator (D-GA) (1997-2003), previously endorsed Carolyn Bourdeaux
- Rand Paul · U.S. senator from Kentucky
- Ron Wyden · U.S. senator (D-OR)
- Sam Nunn · former U.S. senator (D-GA) (1972-1997)
- Ted Cruz · senator from Texas
- Thurbert Baker · former Georgia attorney general (1997-2011)
- Nathan Deal · former governor (2011-2019), U.S. representative (GA-09, GA-10, 1993-2010)
- Pete Buttigieg · former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination
- Vincent Fort · former state senator (1996-2017) and 2017 Atlanta mayoral election candidate
- Abigail Spanberger · U.S. representative (VA-07)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · U.S. representative (NY-14)
- Ami Bera · U.S. representative (CA-07)
- Andrew Young · former mayor of Atlanta (1982–1990), former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations (1977–1979), and U.S. representative (GA-05) (1973–1977)
- Austin Scott · U.S. representative from GA-8 since 2011
- Beth Moore · state representative
- Billy Mitchell · state representative
- Brenda Lopez Romero · state representative
- Buddy Carter · U.S. representative from GA-1 since 2015
- Carolyn Bourdeaux · Georgia State University public policy professor, former director of the Georgia Senate Budget Office, and nominee for Georgia's 7th congressional district in 2018
- Cathy Woolard · president of the Atlanta City Council (2002-2004) and 2017 Atlanta mayoral election candidate
- Chrissy Houlahan · U.S. representative (PA-06)
- David Lucas · state senator
- David Price · U.S. representative (NC-04)
- Dewey McClain · state representative
- Doc Rhett · state senator
- Don Johnson Jr. · former U.S. representative (GA-10) (1993-1995)
- Donna McLeod · state representative
- Donzella James · state senator
- Doug Collins · U.S. representative from GA-9 since 2013
- Drew Ferguson · U.S. representative from GA-3 since 2017
- Elaine Luria · U.S. representative (VA-02)
- Elena Parent · state senator and former state representative
- Elise Stefanik · U.S. representative from NY-21 since 2015
- Elissa Slotkin · U.S. representative (MI-08)
- Geoff Duncan · lieutenant governor
- Gil Cisneros · U.S. representative (CA-39)
- Gloria S. Butler · state senator
- Hakeem Jeffries · U.S. representative (NY-08)
- Hank Johnson · U.S. representative (GA-04)
- Harold V. Jones II · state senator
- Horacena Tate · state senator
- Ilhan Omar · U.S. representative (MN-05)
- James Beverly · state representative
- Jasmine Clark · state representative
- Jason Crow · U.S. representative (CO-06)
- Jody Hice · U.S. representative from GA-10 since 2015
- John Lewis · U.S. representative for (GA-05)
- Jon Ossoff · Democratic nominee in 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia
- Lester G. Jackson · state senator
- Lois Frankel · U.S. representative (FL-21)
- Mary Margaret Oliver · state representative
- Max Rose · U.S. representative (NY-11)
- Mike Garcia · U.S. representative from CA-25 since 2020
- Mikie Sherrill · U.S. representative (NJ-11)
- Nan Orrock · state senator and former state representative
- Park Cannon · state representative
- Pat Gardner · state representative
- Pedro Marin · state representative
- Rob Woodall · U.S. representative from GA-7 since 2011
- Sally Harrell · state senator and former state representative
- Sam Park · state representative
- Scott Holcomb · state representative
- Seth Moulton · U.S. representative (MA-06)
- Shelly Hutchinson · state representative
- Tom Graves · U.S. representative from GA-14 since 2010
- Tom Price · former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services and U.S. representative from GA-6
- Zahra Karinshak · state senator
- state representative · representative
Other31
Other · 31
- Kevin McCarthy · U.S. House Minority Leader (R-CA)
- Steve Scalise · U.S. House Minority Whip (R-LA)
- Fulton County · ormer chair of the Fulton County Commission
- Liz Cheney · chair of the House Republican Conference from Wyoming's at-large congressional district
- Barbara Seidman · retired businesswoman
- Blue America
- Brand New Congress
- Brooke Siskin · businesswoman
- Club for Growth
- Constitutional Grassroots Movement
- Dan Wilson · retired pastor
- EMILY's List
- EPAC
- End Citizens United
- Erick Erickson · blogger
- Everytown for Gun Safety
- FreedomWorks
- Giffords
- Gun Owners of America
- House Freedom Fund
- Human Rights Campaign
- Joyce Griggs · retired lieutenant colonel and businesswoman
- Let America Vote
- Maggie's List
- Marqus Cole · attorney
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Nabilah Islam · activist
- Peace Action
- Sierra Club
- Susan B. Anthony List
- warrant officer · rmer U.S. Army warrant officer
Organizations15
Organizations · 15
- Asian American Action Fund
- Black Economic Alliance
- Brady PAC
- Bryan County · hairwoman of the Bryan County Democratic Party and nominee for Georgia's 1st congressional district in 2018
- Congressional Black Caucus
- Humane Society of the United States · Legislative Fund
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- National Association for Gun Rights
- National Iranian American Council
- New Democrat Coalition · Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood · Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Protect Freedom PAC
- Public Affairs Alliance of Iranian Americans
- Tea Party Express
Celebrity1
Celebrity · 1
- Rashid Malik · author and entrepreneur
DCarolyn Bourdeaux0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-12-31Rich McCormickH0GA07273 ↗
Receipts
$2.7M
Disburse
$2.7M
Cash on hand
$29.8K
Debts
$222.0K
Top industries
Securities & investment$8.4K
Securities & investment · $8.4K
- Apollo Media · $8.4K
Individuals $8.4K · PACs $0
Top contributors
GEM SHOPPINGNETWORK$8.7K
JEWELRY STORE$8.4K
APOLLO MEDIA$8.4K
ENVISION$7.8K
ANDERSON FAMILY DENTISTRY$7.7K
Carolyn BourdeauxH8GA07201 ↗
Receipts
$5.3M
Disburse
$5.3M
Cash on hand
$113.9K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Education$81.3K
Education · $81.3K
- Georgia State University · $43.9K
- Emory University · $25.3K
- Harvard University · $12.0K
Individuals $81.3K · PACs $0
Internet$11.5K
Internet · $11.5K
- Google · $11.5K
Individuals $11.5K · PACs $0
Top contributors
GEORGIA STATE UNIVERSITY$43.9K
EMORY UNIVERSITY$25.3K
GEORGIA TECH$14.3K
ERNST & YOUNG$12.9K
HARVARD UNIVERSITY$12.0K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$42.9M
D side
$32.1M · 75%
R side
$10.8M · 25%
Top spender
HOUSE MAJORITY PAC
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSE MAJORITY PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $23.8M | 55% | against Rich McCormick |
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $7.4M | 17% | against Carolyn Bourdeaux |
| EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND) super pac · boosts D
| D | $6.0M | 14% | against Rich McCormick |
| CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION super pac · boosts R
| R | $1.6M | 4% | against Carolyn Bourdeaux |
| AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC.(AFP ACTION) super pac · boosts R
| R | $1.1M | 3% | for Rich McCormick |
| WOMEN VOTE! super pac · boosts D
| D | $1.0M | 2% | against Rich McCormick |
| DCCC party · boosts D
| D | $419.6K | 1% | for Carolyn Bourdeaux |
| CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS PAC pac · boosts D
| D | $407.6K | 1% | for Carolyn Bourdeaux |
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Lean D2
Lean D · 2 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Aug 13
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Sep 2
Tilt D1
Tilt D · 1 rater
- Inside Elections · Aug 6
The Cook Political Report
Lean DInside Elections
Tilt DSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-12-31
Endorsements203 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks