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Races · house · 2020 · Georgia
house · open seat

Nikema Williams vs Angela Stanton-King

Safe DD +60.6 forecast· 0 polls · 0 markets
Model's final pre-election call · win probabilitypoliagg-v34 · final pre-election call
99% Williams (D)
1% Stanton-King (R)
R+15R+5TIEDD+5D+15
Model's predicted final margin D +60.6 · 80% CI D+48.6 → D+72.6
Actual result D+70.4 · backtest (race already called)
Momentum
insufficient data
Tipping-point P
0.0%
Decisive for chamber control
Market · D-side
Cross-platform consensus
News articles · 30d
no recent coverage
Where this race stands
Verified

Safe D · model 99% D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+36) suggests Safe D.

The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+60.6 with an 80% CI ranging from D+48.6 (10th pctile) to D+72.6 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.

CITATIONS · safe-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +60.6
80% CI: D +48.6D +72.6 · win prob 99%
R+100R+50TIEDD+50D+100
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
Polls used0
Days to electionpassed
Actual resultD+70.4
Residual σ6.00pt
Generated7/1/2026

Endorsements · 216 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
89Williams · 41%
Stanton-King · 59%127
RAngela Stanton-King127 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials80
Federal 39State 35Local 1
Other31
Organizations15
Celebrity1
DNikema Williams89 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials62
Federal 31State 30Local 0
Other14
Organizations12
Celebrity1

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-12-03
Nikema WilliamsH0GA05301 ↗
Receipts
$558.3K
Disburse
$367.1K
Cash on hand
$191.2K
Debts
$0
Lawyers / law firms$6.1K
Education$4.0K
GEORGIA STATE UNIVERSITY$4.0K
KILPATRICK TOWNSEND & STOCKTON LLP$3.3K
BARNES LAW GROUP$2.8K
COOPER HOUSE$2.8K
GIVE LIVELY$2.8K
Angela Stanton-KingH0GA05277 ↗
Receipts
$310.5K
Disburse
$309.3K
Cash on hand
$1.2K
Debts
$0
No industry data.
MYSELF$3.5K
NOT THIS TIME$3.0K
DIVINITY PROPHET$3.0K
SARA S$2.8K
MYPILLOW$2.8K

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$34.0K
D side
$34.0K · 100%
R side
$0 · 0%
Top spender
PLANNED PARENTHOOD …
For / against split
For Williams $33.8K
Against Stanton-King $115.05
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESD$17.9K53%for Nikema Williams
CARE IN ACTION PACD$6.8K20%for Nikema Williams
OUR FUTURE IS BLACK PACD$5.1K15%for Nikema Williams
ASIAN AMERICAN ADVOCACY FUND PACD$4.0K12%for Nikema Williams
EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND)D$144.160%for Nikema Williams

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D3
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Jul 1
Inside Elections
Safe D
Jun 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Jul 1

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 11, 2026Safe Dmodel
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-12-03
Endorsements216 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks