Races · house · 2020 · Georgia
house · open seat
Val Almonord vs Drew Ferguson
Where this race stands
VerifiedSafe R · model 99% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+15) suggests Safe R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+34.6 with an 80% CI ranging from R+46.6 (10th pctile) to R+22.6 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · safe-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +34.6
80% CI: R +46.6 → R +22.6 · win prob 1%
R+60R+30TIEDD+30D+60
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+30.2 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 216 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet89
127
Endorsements tracked
Val Almonord89 · 41%
Drew Ferguson127 · 59%
Total216
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
RDrew Ferguson127 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials80
Federal 39State 35Local 1
Elected officials · 80
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
- Donald Trump · 45th president of the United States
- Joe Biden · 47th vice president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Delaware (1973-2009)
- Bob Trammell · state representative and House Minority Leader
- Stacey Abrams · 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, former state representative (2007–2017) and House Minority Leader (2011–2017)
- Steve Henson · state senator and Senate Minority Leader
- Newt Gingrich · former U.S. representative from GA-6, former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives
- Brian Kemp · governor of Georgia
- Jason Carter · nominee for governor of Georgia in 2014, former state senator (2010-2015), and grandson of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter
- Roy Barnes · former governor of Georgia (1999-2003), previously endorsed Carolyn Bourdeaux
- David Perdue · senator from Georgia
- Johnny Isakson · former senator from Georgia
- Max Cleland · former U.S. senator (D-GA) (1997-2003), previously endorsed Carolyn Bourdeaux
- Rand Paul · U.S. senator from Kentucky
- Ron Wyden · U.S. senator (D-OR)
- Sam Nunn · former U.S. senator (D-GA) (1972-1997)
- Ted Cruz · senator from Texas
- Thurbert Baker · former Georgia attorney general (1997-2011)
- Nathan Deal · former governor (2011-2019), U.S. representative (GA-09, GA-10, 1993-2010)
- Pete Buttigieg · former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination
- Vincent Fort · former state senator (1996-2017) and 2017 Atlanta mayoral election candidate
- Abigail Spanberger · U.S. representative (VA-07)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · U.S. representative (NY-14)
- Ami Bera · U.S. representative (CA-07)
- Andrew Young · former mayor of Atlanta (1982–1990), former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations (1977–1979), and U.S. representative (GA-05) (1973–1977)
- Austin Scott · U.S. representative from GA-8 since 2011
- Beth Moore · state representative
- Billy Mitchell · state representative
- Brenda Lopez Romero · state representative
- Buddy Carter · U.S. representative from GA-1 since 2015
- Carolyn Bourdeaux · Georgia State University public policy professor, former director of the Georgia Senate Budget Office, and nominee for Georgia's 7th congressional district in 2018
- Cathy Woolard · president of the Atlanta City Council (2002-2004) and 2017 Atlanta mayoral election candidate
- Chrissy Houlahan · U.S. representative (PA-06)
- David Lucas · state senator
- David Price · U.S. representative (NC-04)
- Dewey McClain · state representative
- Doc Rhett · state senator
- Don Johnson Jr. · former U.S. representative (GA-10) (1993-1995)
- Donna McLeod · state representative
- Donzella James · state senator
- Doug Collins · U.S. representative from GA-9 since 2013
- Drew Ferguson · U.S. representative from GA-3 since 2017
- Elaine Luria · U.S. representative (VA-02)
- Elena Parent · state senator and former state representative
- Elise Stefanik · U.S. representative from NY-21 since 2015
- Elissa Slotkin · U.S. representative (MI-08)
- Geoff Duncan · lieutenant governor
- Gil Cisneros · U.S. representative (CA-39)
- Gloria S. Butler · state senator
- Hakeem Jeffries · U.S. representative (NY-08)
- Hank Johnson · U.S. representative (GA-04)
- Harold V. Jones II · state senator
- Horacena Tate · state senator
- Ilhan Omar · U.S. representative (MN-05)
- James Beverly · state representative
- Jasmine Clark · state representative
- Jason Crow · U.S. representative (CO-06)
- Jody Hice · U.S. representative from GA-10 since 2015
- John Lewis · U.S. representative for (GA-05)
- Jon Ossoff · Democratic nominee in 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia
- Lester G. Jackson · state senator
- Lois Frankel · U.S. representative (FL-21)
- Mary Margaret Oliver · state representative
- Max Rose · U.S. representative (NY-11)
- Mike Garcia · U.S. representative from CA-25 since 2020
- Mikie Sherrill · U.S. representative (NJ-11)
- Nan Orrock · state senator and former state representative
- Park Cannon · state representative
- Pat Gardner · state representative
- Pedro Marin · state representative
- Rob Woodall · U.S. representative from GA-7 since 2011
- Sally Harrell · state senator and former state representative
- Sam Park · state representative
- Scott Holcomb · state representative
- Seth Moulton · U.S. representative (MA-06)
- Shelly Hutchinson · state representative
- Tom Graves · U.S. representative from GA-14 since 2010
- Tom Price · former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services and U.S. representative from GA-6
- Zahra Karinshak · state senator
- state representative · representative
Other31
Other · 31
- Kevin McCarthy · U.S. House Minority Leader (R-CA)
- Steve Scalise · U.S. House Minority Whip (R-LA)
- Fulton County · ormer chair of the Fulton County Commission
- Liz Cheney · chair of the House Republican Conference from Wyoming's at-large congressional district
- Barbara Seidman · retired businesswoman
- Blue America
- Brand New Congress
- Brooke Siskin · businesswoman
- Club for Growth
- Constitutional Grassroots Movement
- Dan Wilson · retired pastor
- EMILY's List
- EPAC
- End Citizens United
- Erick Erickson · blogger
- Everytown for Gun Safety
- FreedomWorks
- Giffords
- Gun Owners of America
- House Freedom Fund
- Human Rights Campaign
- Joyce Griggs · retired lieutenant colonel and businesswoman
- Let America Vote
- Maggie's List
- Marqus Cole · attorney
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Nabilah Islam · activist
- Peace Action
- Sierra Club
- Susan B. Anthony List
- warrant officer · rmer U.S. Army warrant officer
Organizations15
Organizations · 15
- Asian American Action Fund
- Black Economic Alliance
- Brady PAC
- Bryan County · hairwoman of the Bryan County Democratic Party and nominee for Georgia's 1st congressional district in 2018
- Congressional Black Caucus
- Humane Society of the United States · Legislative Fund
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- National Association for Gun Rights
- National Iranian American Council
- New Democrat Coalition · Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood · Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Protect Freedom PAC
- Public Affairs Alliance of Iranian Americans
- Tea Party Express
Celebrity1
Celebrity · 1
- Rashid Malik · author and entrepreneur
DVal Almonord89 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials62
Federal 31State 30Local 0
Elected officials · 62
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
- Donald Trump · 45th president of the United States
- Joe Biden · 47th vice president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Delaware (1973-2009)
- Bob Trammell · state representative and House Minority Leader
- Stacey Abrams · 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, former state representative (2007–2017) and House Minority Leader (2011–2017)
- Steve Henson · state senator and Senate Minority Leader
- Nikema Williams · state senator and chair of the Georgia Democratic Party
- Jason Carter · nominee for governor of Georgia in 2014, former state senator (2010-2015), and grandson of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter
- Roy Barnes · former governor of Georgia (1999-2003), previously endorsed Carolyn Bourdeaux
- Max Cleland · former U.S. senator (D-GA) (1997-2003), previously endorsed Carolyn Bourdeaux
- Ron Wyden · U.S. senator (D-OR)
- Sam Nunn · former U.S. senator (D-GA) (1972-1997)
- Thurbert Baker · former Georgia attorney general (1997-2011)
- Robert Michael Franklin Jr. · former president of Morehouse College
- Vincent Fort · former state senator (1996-2017) and 2017 Atlanta mayoral election candidate
- Abigail Spanberger · U.S. representative (VA-07)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · U.S. representative (NY-14)
- Ami Bera · U.S. representative (CA-07)
- Andrew Young · former mayor of Atlanta (1982–1990), former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations (1977–1979), and U.S. representative (GA-05) (1973–1977)
- Beth Moore · state representative
- Billy Mitchell · state representative
- Cathy Woolard · president of the Atlanta City Council (2002-2004) and 2017 Atlanta mayoral election candidate
- Chrissy Houlahan · U.S. representative (PA-06)
- David Lucas · state senator
- David Price · U.S. representative (NC-04)
- Dewey McClain · state representative
- Doc Rhett · state senator
- Don Johnson Jr. · former U.S. representative (GA-10) (1993-1995)
- Donna McLeod · state representative
- Donzella James · state senator
- Elaine Luria · U.S. representative (VA-02)
- Elena Parent · state senator and former state representative
- Elissa Slotkin · U.S. representative (MI-08)
- Gil Cisneros · U.S. representative (CA-39)
- Gloria S. Butler · state senator
- Hakeem Jeffries · U.S. representative (NY-08)
- Hank Johnson · U.S. representative (GA-04)
- Harold V. Jones II · state senator
- Horacena Tate · state senator
- Ilhan Omar · U.S. representative (MN-05)
- James Beverly · state representative
- James Woodall · president of the Georgia NAACP
- Jasmine Clark · state representative
- Jason Crow · U.S. representative (CO-06)
- Jody Hice · U.S. representative from GA-10 since 2015
- John Lewis · U.S. representative for (GA-05)
- Jon Ossoff · Democratic nominee in 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia
- Lester G. Jackson · state senator
- Lois Frankel · U.S. representative (FL-21)
- Mary Margaret Oliver · state representative
- Max Rose · U.S. representative (NY-11)
- Mike Garcia · U.S. representative from CA-25 since 2020
- Mikie Sherrill · U.S. representative (NJ-11)
- Nan Orrock · state senator and former state representative
- Park Cannon · state representative
- Pat Gardner · state representative
- Pedro Marin · state representative
- Sally Harrell · state senator and former state representative
- Scott Holcomb · state representative
- Seth Moulton · U.S. representative (MA-06)
- Shelly Hutchinson · state representative
- state representative · representative
Other14
Other · 14
- Andre Dickens · Atlanta city councillor
- Becky E. Hites · steel industry consultant
- Blue America
- Brand New Congress
- Caesar Gonzales · aerospace engineer
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Everytown for Gun Safety
- Giffords
- Johsie Cruz Ezammudeen · activist
- Let America Vote
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Peace Action
- Sierra Club
Organizations12
Organizations · 12
- Asian American Action Fund
- Black Economic Alliance
- Blue Dog Coalition
- Brady PAC
- Humane Society of the United States · Legislative Fund
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- National Education Association
- National Iranian American Council
- New Democrat Coalition · Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood · Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Public Affairs Alliance of Iranian Americans
Celebrity1
Celebrity · 1
- Angela Stanton-King · author and criminal justice advocate
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-09-30Drew FergusonH6GA03113 ↗
Receipts
$2.4M
Disburse
$2.2M
Cash on hand
$338.1K
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Val Almonord
Receipts
$40.8K
Disburse
$36.9K
Cash on hand
$0
Debts
$0
Top industries
Air transport$650
Air transport · $650
- Delta Airlines · $650
Individuals $650 · PACs $0
Top contributors
K ROWE INVESTMENTS LLC$2.8K
DELTA AIRLINES$650
USAF$350
THE MABRA FIRM LLC$250
EVANGELISTA WORLEY LLC$250
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$8.0K
D side
$750 · 9%
R side
$7.2K · 91%
Top spender
NATIONAL RIFLE ASSO…
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $7.2K | 91% | for Drew Ferguson |
| TOGETHER WE THRIVE super pac · boosts D
| D | $750 | 9% | against Drew Ferguson |
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R3
Safe R · 3 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Jul 1
- Inside Elections · Jun 1
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Jul 1
The Cook Political Report
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-09-30
Endorsements216 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks