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Races · house · 2020 · Georgia
house · open seat

Sanford Bishop vs Don Cole

Safe DD +22.5 forecast· 0 polls · 0 markets
Model's final pre-election call · win probabilitypoliagg-v34 · final pre-election call
99% Bishop (D)
1% Cole (R)
R+15R+5TIEDD+5D+15
Model's predicted final margin D +22.5 · 80% CI D+10.5 → D+34.5
Actual result D+18.2 · backtest (race already called)
Momentum
insufficient data
Tipping-point P
0.0%
Decisive for chamber control
Market · D-side
Cross-platform consensus
News articles · 30d
no recent coverage
Where this race stands
Verified

Lean D · model 99% D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+4) suggests Lean D.

The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+22.5 with an 80% CI ranging from D+10.5 (10th pctile) to D+34.5 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.

CITATIONS · lean-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +22.5
80% CI: D +10.5D +34.5 · win prob 99%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
Polls used0
Days to electionpassed
Actual resultD+18.2
Residual σ6.00pt
Generated7/1/2026

Endorsements · 216 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
89Bishop · 41%
Cole · 59%127
RDon Cole127 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials80
Federal 39State 35Local 1
Other31
Organizations15
Celebrity1
DSanford Bishop89 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials62
Federal 31State 30Local 0
Other14
Organizations12
Celebrity1

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-10-31
Sanford BishopH2GA02031 ↗
Receipts
$1.6M
Disburse
$1.5M
Cash on hand
$192.5K
Debts
$0
Health professionals$4.3K
THOMAS USAF GROUP$11.4K
STRATEGIC RESOURCES, INC.$8.4K
MCLENDON ACRES, INC.$7.5K
AFLAC$6.3K
US GOVERNMENT$5.6K
Don ColeOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$165.3K
Disburse
$163.5K
Cash on hand
$1.8K
Debts
$0
Crop production$3.5K
Insurance$2.0K
Lawyers / law firms$1.6K
SOUTHERN TRUST & SOUTHERN$5.6K
MILLS HVAC$5.0K
ALLSOUTH OUTDOOR ADVERTISING, INC.$2.6K
JACKSON FARMS$2.0K
FLEMING & RILES INSURANCE$2.0K

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$18.8K
D side
$18.8K · 100%
R side
$0 · 0%
Top spender
AMERICANS FOR PROSP…
For / against split
For Bishop $18.8K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC.(AFP ACTION)D$18.0K96%for Sanford Bishop
TOGETHER WE THRIVED$7504%for Sanford Bishop

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D3
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Jul 1
Inside Elections
Safe D
Jun 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Jul 1

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 11, 2026Safe Dmodel
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-10-31
Endorsements216 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks