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Races · house · 2020 · Georgia
house · open seat

David Scott vs Becky E. Hites

Safe DD +52.0 forecast· 0 polls · 0 markets
Model's final pre-election call · win probabilitypoliagg-v34 · final pre-election call
99% Scott (D)
1% Hites (R)
R+15R+5TIEDD+5D+15
Model's predicted final margin D +52.0 · 80% CI D+40.0 → D+64.0
Actual result D+54.8 · backtest (race already called)
Momentum
insufficient data
Tipping-point P
0.0%
Decisive for chamber control
Market · D-side
Cross-platform consensus
News articles · 30d
no recent coverage
Where this race stands
Verified

Safe D · model 99% D

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+21) suggests Safe D.

The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+52.0 with an 80% CI ranging from D+40.0 (10th pctile) to D+64.0 (90th pctile), giving D a 99% chance of winning.

CITATIONS · safe-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +52.0
80% CI: D +40.0D +64.0 · win prob 99%
R+100R+50TIEDD+50D+100
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
Polls used0
Days to electionpassed
Actual resultD+54.8
Residual σ6.00pt
Generated7/1/2026

Endorsements · 216 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
89Scott · 41%
Hites · 59%127
RBecky E. Hites127 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials80
Federal 39State 35Local 1
Other31
Organizations15
Celebrity1
DDavid Scott89 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials62
Federal 31State 30Local 0
Other14
Organizations12
Celebrity1

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-04-17
David ScottH2GA13012 ↗
Receipts
$1.2M
Disburse
$1.1M
Cash on hand
$461.6K
Debts
$36.4K
Real estate$5.8K
Health professionals$2.8K
QUICKEN LOANS$5.0K
RIPPLE$3.0K
KELLER WILLIAMS REALTY$3.0K
WAYFIELD FOODS$2.8K
WADE FORD$2.8K
Becky E. HitesOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$63.9K
Disburse
$63.3K
Cash on hand
$573.72
Debts
$19.0K
Internet$500
Govt employees$250
Health professionals$250
BRS$750
SELT$700
CALIBRE GROUP LLC$500
CHURCH$500
UTAH METAL WORKS INC$500

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$103.5K
D side
$103.5K · 100%
R side
$0 · 0%
Top spender
NATIONAL ASSOCIATIO…
For / against split
For Scott $103.5K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEED$102.7K99%for David Scott
TOGETHER WE THRIVED$7501%for David Scott

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe D3
The Cook Political Report
Safe D
Jul 1
Inside Elections
Safe D
Jun 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe D
Jul 1

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 11, 2026Safe Dmodel
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-04-17
Endorsements216 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks