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Races · house · 2020 · Georgia
house · open seat

Tabitha Johnson-Green vs Jody Hice

Safe RR +24.9 forecast· 0 polls · 0 markets
Model's final pre-election call · win probabilitypoliagg-v34 · final pre-election call
1% Johnson-Green (D)
99% Hice (R)
R+15R+5TIEDD+5D+15
Model's predicted final margin R +24.9 · 80% CI R+36.9 → R+12.9
Actual result R+24.6 · backtest (race already called)
Momentum
insufficient data
Tipping-point P
0.0%
Decisive for chamber control
Market · D-side
Cross-platform consensus
News articles · 30d
no recent coverage
Where this race stands
Verified

Likely R · model 99% R

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+11) suggests Likely R.

The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+24.9 with an 80% CI ranging from R+36.9 (10th pctile) to R+12.9 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.

CITATIONS · likely-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +24.9
80% CI: R +36.9R +12.9 · win prob 1%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
Polls used0
Days to electionpassed
Actual resultR+24.6
Residual σ6.00pt
Generated7/1/2026

Endorsements · 216 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
89Johnson-Green · 41%
Hice · 59%127
RJody Hice127 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials80
Federal 39State 35Local 1
Other31
Organizations15
Celebrity1
DTabitha Johnson-Green89 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005-2008)
Elected officials62
Federal 31State 30Local 0
Other14
Organizations12
Celebrity1

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-09-30
Jody HiceH0GA07125 ↗
Receipts
$601.0K
Disburse
$462.7K
Cash on hand
$249.9K
Debts
$65.1K
No industry data.
PSALMS 127, LLC$8.4K
HADCO$8.1K
DEERFIELD ROADSIDE LLC$6.3K
PEACH STATE FEDERAL CREDIT UNION$5.6K
CRENSHAW MANAGAMENT COMPANY$5.6K
Tabitha Johnson-GreenOWN COMMITTEE
Receipts
$15.1K
Disburse
$12.5K
Cash on hand
$-8.11
Debts
$0
Air transport$500
MICRO-TEL, INC.$1.0K
AMERICAN AIRLINES$500
CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNO$350

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$9.5K
D side
$750 · 8%
R side
$8.8K · 92%
Top spender
NATIONAL RIFLE ASSO…
For / against split
Against Hice $750
For Hice $8.8K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUNDR$6.8K71%for Jody Hice
HOUSE FREEDOM FUNDR$2.0K21%for Jody Hice
TOGETHER WE THRIVED$7508%against Jody Hice

Editorial ratings · 3 raters

Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.
Safe R3
The Cook Political Report
Safe R
Jul 1
Inside Elections
Safe R
Jun 1
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Safe R
Jul 1

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 11, 2026Safe Rmodel
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-09-30
Endorsements216 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks