Races · house · 2020 · Florida
house · open seat
Lois Frankel vs Laura Loomer
Where this race stands
VerifiedLean R · model 96% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+7) suggests Lean R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+10.6 with an 80% CI ranging from R+1.4 (10th pctile) to D+22.6 (90th pctile), giving D a 96% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · lean-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +10.6
80% CI: R +1.4 → D +22.6 · win prob 96%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | D+19.9 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 272 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yet130
142
Endorsements tracked
Lois Frankel130 · 48%
Laura Loomer142 · 52%
Total272
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
RLaura Loomer142 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
Elected officials72
Federal 35State 34Local 3
Elected officials · 72
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
- Donald Trump · President of the United States
- Wayne Allyn Root · conservative author, radio host, conspiracy theorist, and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008
- Kevin McCarthy · U.S. representative (CA-23), House Minority Leader, and former House Majority Leader (2014–2019) and House Majority Whip (2011–2014)
- Kionne McGhee · Florida state representative from District 117 (2012–present); Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2018–present)
- Lizbeth Benacquisto · state senator and former state Senate majority leader (2012–2014) and Republican candidate in 2014 FL-19 special election
- Steve Scalise · U.S. representative (LA-01), House Minority Whip, and former House Majority Whip (2014–2019)
- Liz Cheney · U.S. representative from WY-00 (2017–present); Chair of the House Republican Conference (2019–present); candidate for U.S. Senate from Wyoming in 2014
- Marco Rubio · U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present); Chair of the Senate Small Business Committee (2019–present); candidate for President in 2016
- Tom Emmer · U.S. representative from MN-06 (2015–present); Chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee (2019–present)
- Bob Graham · U.S. senator from Florida (1987–2005); Governor of Florida (1979–1987); candidate for President in 2004
- Charlie Crist · U.S. representative from FL-13, Governor of Florida (2007–2011), Attorney General of Florida (2003–2007) (former Republican)
- Gwen Graham · U.S. representative from FL-02 (2015–2017); candidate for Governor of Florida in 2018
- Philip Levine · Mayor of Miami Beach, Florida (2013–2017); candidate for governor of Florida in 2018
- Tim Pawlenty · 2012 Republican presidential candidate and former governor of Minnesota (2003–2011)
- Janet Cruz · Florida state senator from District 18 (2018–present)
- Joni Ernst · U.S. senator from Iowa
- Kelli Stargel · Florida state senator from District 22 (2016–present) and District 15 (2012–2016)
- Kent Conrad · U.S. senator from North Dakota (1987–2013)
- Rand Paul · U.S. senator from Kentucky
- Sean Shaw · Florida state representative from District 61 (2016–2018); Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida in 2018
- Denise Grimsley · former state senator (2012–2018) and state representative (2004–2012)
- Jeff Kottkamp · former lieutenant governor (2007–2011)
- Jennifer Carroll · former lieutenant governor (2011–2013)
- Aaron Bean · state senator and former state representative (2000–2008)
- Adam Hattersley · state representative
- Anthony Sabatini · state representative
- Ben Diamond · Florida state representative from District 68 (2016–present)
- Betty Castor · education commissioner of Florida (1987–1994); Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004
- Bill Foster · former mayor of St. Petersburg (2010–2014)
- Carlos Guillermo Smith · Florida state representative from District 49 (2016–present)
- Cenk Uygur · political commentator, media host, journalist, and attorney; candidate for U.S. representative from CA-25 in 2020
- Charlie Stone · state representative
- Chuck Brannan · state representative
- Cliff Stearns · former U.S. representative ( FL-06 ) (1989–2013)
- Daniel Webster · U.S. representative from FL-11 (2017–present), FL-10 (2013–2017), and FL-08 (2011–2013); candidate for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004
- Darren Soto · U.S. representative from FL-09 (2017–present)
- Dianne Hart · Florida state representative from District 61 (2018–present)
- Elise Stefanik · U.S. representative (NY-21)
- Evan Jenne · Florida state representative from District 99 (2014–present); Florida state representative from District 100 (2006–2012)
- Fentrice Driskell · Florida state representative from District 63 (2018–present)
- Gary Aubuchon · former state representative (2007–2013)
- Greg Steube · U.S. representative from FL-17 (2019–present)
- Gus Bilirakis · U.S. representative from FL-12 (2013–present) and FL-09 (2007–2013)
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen · former U.S. representative from Florida
- J. W. Grant · state representative
- Jason Fischer · state representative
- Javier Fernandez · Florida state representative from District 114 (2018–present)
- Jennifer Webb · Florida state representative from District 69 (2018–present)
- John Rutherford · U.S. representative ( FL-04 )
- Kathy Castor · U.S. representative from FL-14 (2013–present) and FL-11 (2007–2013)
- Keith Perry · state senator and former state representative (2010–2016)
- Kristen Carlson · attorney, Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-15 in 2018
- Lois Frankel · U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2017–present)
- Mario Díaz-Balart · U.S. representative from FL-25 (2003–2011 and 2013–present) and FL-21 (2011–2013)
- Matt Caldwell · former state representative (2010–2018)
- Matt Gaetz · U.S. representative (FL-01)
- Michael Burgess · U.S. representative (TX-26)
- Michael Waltz · U.S. representative (FL-06)
- Nancy Soderberg · foreign policy strategist; Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-06 in 2018
- Neal Dunn · U.S. representative (FL-02)
- Patrick J. Kennedy · U.S. representative from RI-1, son of Ted Kennedy
- Paul Gosar · U.S. representative from (AZ-04) (2013–present), (AZ-01) (2011–2013)
- Ray Rodrigues · state representative
- Rick Kriseman · mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida (2014–present)
- Sandra Freedman · mayor of Tampa, Florida (1986–1995)
- Spencer Roach · state representative
- Stephanie Murphy · U.S. representative from FL-07 (2017–present)
- Susan Valdes · Florida state representative from District 62 (2018–present)
- Ted Deutch · U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2013–2017), U.S. representative from FL-19 (2010–2013)
- Vern Buchanan · U.S. representative ( FL-16 )
- Wengay Newton · Florida state representative from District 70 (2016–present)
Other38
Other · 38
- Andrew Yang · entrepreneur and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate
- 314 Action
- Alan Cohn · Peabody and Emmy award-winning journalist and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2014
- Bo Snerdley · call screener, producer, and engineer for The Rush Limbaugh Show
- Carey Baker · property appraiser of Lake County, Florida (2012–present)
- Club for Growth
- College Democrats of America · Florida chapter
- Defense Intelligence Agency · Intelligence Agency officer
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Frank Polo (write · in), businessman
- Fraternal Order of Police · Lodges 10 and 43
- FreedomWorks
- Gavin McInnes · far-right political commentator and founder of the Proud Boys
- Grady Judd · Sheriff of Polk County, Florida (2005–present) ( Independent )
- High School Democrats of America
- John Hutson · United States Navy officer, attorney, and Judge Advocate General of the Navy
- Juanita Broaddrick · political activist, Bill Clinton accuser, and former nursing home administrator
- Maggie's List
- Marjorie Taylor Greene · businesswoman, conspiracy theorist and Republican nominee for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the 2020 elections
- Michael Johns · former White House speechwriter to George H. W. Bush
- Michelle Malkin · conservative columnist
- Milo Yiannopoulos · far-right political commentator
- Moms Demand Action
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- NRA Political Victory Fund
- New York Young Republican Club
- Nikki Fried · Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–present)
- Planned Parenthood
- Robert J. O'Neill · former U.S. Navy SEAL
- Roger Stone · political consultant and felon
- SEIU
- Sierra Club
- Students for Trump
- Susan B. Anthony List
- The Young Turks
- U.S. Marine Corps · .S. Marine Corps veteran
- U.S. Naval Reserve · S. Naval Reserve officer and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018 ( running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59 )
Organizations25
Organizations · 25
- AFL–CIO · West Central Florida Labor Council
- American Federation of Government Employees
- American Postal Workers Union
- Black Economic Alliance
- Blue Dog Coalition
- Communication Workers of America
- Florida Democratic Party · Disabilities Issues Caucus
- International Association of Fire Fighters · Local 2294
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers · Local 824
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters
- International Union of Operating Engineers
- J Street PAC
- Jewish Democratic Council of America
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- National Emergency Medicine (NEM) PAC
- National Republican Congressional Committee
- National Right to Life Committee
- New Democrat Coalition
- Police Benevolent Association · (PBA) North Central Florida Chapter
- Republican Liberty Caucus
- Republican Main Street Partnership · PAC
- Tea Party Express
- Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund
- United Association
- United Food and Commercial Workers
Celebrity5
Celebrity · 5
- Marianne Williamson · author, spiritual leader, and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate
- Alex Jones · far-right radio show host, political extremist and conspiracy theorist
- Florida Gulf Coast University · ce professor at Florida Gulf Coast University
- Roseanne Barr · actress
- perennial candidate · in), former professor and perennial candidate
Newspapers2
Newspapers · 2
- Dana Loesch · former National Rifle Association of America spokeswoman and Breitbart News editor
- Sun-Sentinel
DLois Frankel130 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
Other50
Other · 50
- Andrew Yang · entrepreneur and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate
- 2012 Republican National Convention · epublican National Convention executive
- 314 Action
- 350 Action
- Bo Snerdley · call screener, producer, and engineer for The Rush Limbaugh Show
- Brady Campaign
- Brand New Congress
- Brigade 2506 · na, banker and Brigade 2506 veteran
- Coconut Grove · a-Turner, Coconut Grove village councilwoman
- College Democrats of America · Florida chapter
- Cori Bush · Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st congressional district
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Florida's 18th congressional district · ndidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2016, and candidate for Florida's 23rd congressional district in 2018
- Frank Polo (write · in), businessman
- Fraternal Order of Police · Lodges 10 and 43
- FreedomWorks
- Gavin McInnes · far-right political commentator and founder of the Proud Boys
- High School Democrats of America
- Internal Revenue Service · Internal Revenue Service agent
- John Hutson · United States Navy officer, attorney, and Judge Advocate General of the Navy
- Juanita Broaddrick · political activist, Bill Clinton accuser, and former nursing home administrator
- LPAC
- Latino Victory
- Laura Loomer · reporter for InfoWars, conspiracy theorist, and far-right activist
- Maggie's List
- Maria Elvira Salazar · journalist and nominee for Florida's 27th congressional district in 2018
- Marjorie Taylor Greene · businesswoman, conspiracy theorist and Republican nominee for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the 2020 elections
- Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School · Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School
- Michelle Malkin · conservative columnist
- Milo Yiannopoulos · far-right political commentator
- Moms Demand Action
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- National Organization for Women
- New York Young Republican Club
- Nikki Fried · Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–present)
- Our Revolution · Broward chapter
- Robert J. O'Neill · former U.S. Navy SEAL
- Roger Stone · political consultant
- SEIU
- Sierra Club
- Students for Trump
- Susan B. Anthony List
- The Young Turks
- U.S. Air Force · U.S. Air Force veteran
- U.S. Army · n, former U.S. Army sergeant
- U.S. Customs Service · rivate investigator and former U.S. Customs Service pilot
- U.S. Marine Corps · us, technology executive and U.S. Marine Corps veteran
- VoteVets
- perennial candidate · n), retired journalist and perennial candidate
Elected officials48
Federal 27State 17Local 4
Elected officials · 48
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
- Donald Trump · President of the United States
- Wayne Allyn Root · conservative author, radio host, conspiracy theorist, and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008
- Kevin McCarthy · U.S. representative (CA-23), House Minority Leader, and former House Majority Leader (2014–2019) and House Majority Whip (2011–2014)
- Kionne McGhee · Florida state representative from District 117 (2012–present); Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2018–present)
- Steve Scalise · U.S. representative (LA-01), House Minority Whip, and former House Majority Whip (2014–2019)
- Bob Graham · U.S. senator from Florida (1987–2005); Governor of Florida (1979–1987); candidate for President in 2004
- Charlie Crist · U.S. representative from FL-13, Governor of Florida (2007–2011), Attorney General of Florida (2003–2007) (former Republican)
- Gwen Graham · U.S. representative from FL-02 (2015–2017); candidate for Governor of Florida in 2018
- Philip Levine · Mayor of Miami Beach, Florida (2013–2017); candidate for governor of Florida in 2018
- Elizabeth Warren · U.S. senator from Massachusetts
- Janet Cruz · Florida state senator from District 18 (2018–present)
- Joni Ernst · U.S. senator from Iowa
- Kent Conrad · U.S. senator from North Dakota (1987–2013)
- Sean Shaw · Florida state representative from District 61 (2016–2018); Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida in 2018
- Ben Diamond · Florida state representative from District 68 (2016–present)
- Betty Castor · education commissioner of Florida (1987–1994); Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004
- Bill Foster · former mayor of St. Petersburg (2010–2014)
- Carlos Guillermo Smith · Florida state representative from District 49 (2016–present)
- Cenk Uygur · political commentator, media host, journalist, and attorney; candidate for U.S. representative from CA-25 in 2020
- Darren Soto · U.S. representative from FL-09 (2017–present)
- Dianne Hart · Florida state representative from District 61 (2018–present)
- Elise Stefanik · U.S. representative (NY-21)
- Evan Jenne · Florida state representative from District 99 (2014–present); Florida state representative from District 100 (2006–2012)
- Fentrice Driskell · Florida state representative from District 63 (2018–present)
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen · former U.S. representative from Florida
- J. W. Grant · state representative
- Javier Fernandez · Florida state representative from District 114 (2018–present)
- Jennifer Webb · Florida state representative from District 69 (2018–present)
- John Rutherford · U.S. representative (FL-04)
- Kathy Castor · U.S. representative from FL-14 (2013–present) and FL-11 (2007–2013)
- Kristen Carlson · attorney, Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-15 in 2018
- Lois Frankel · U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2017–present)
- Matt Gaetz · U.S. representative (FL-01)
- Michael Burgess · U.S. representative (TX-26)
- Michael Waltz · U.S. representative (FL-06)
- Nancy Soderberg · foreign policy strategist; Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-06 in 2018
- Neal Dunn · U.S. representative (FL-02)
- Patrick J. Kennedy · U.S. representative from RI-1, son of Ted Kennedy
- Patrick Murphy · former U.S. representative from this district (2013–2017) and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016
- Paul Gosar · U.S. representative from (AZ-04) (2013–present), (AZ-01) (2011–2013)
- Rick Baker · former mayor of St. Petersburg
- Rick Kriseman · mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida (2014–present)
- Sandra Freedman · mayor of Tampa, Florida (1986–1995)
- Stephanie Murphy · U.S. representative from FL-07 (2017–present)
- Susan Valdes · Florida state representative from District 62 (2018–present)
- Ted Deutch · U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2013–2017), U.S. representative from FL-19 (2010–2013)
- Wengay Newton · Florida state representative from District 70 (2016–present)
Organizations26
Organizations · 26
- AFL-CIO · North Florida
- AFL–CIO · West Central Florida Labor Council
- American Federation of Government Employees
- American Postal Workers Union
- Blue Dog Coalition
- Communication Workers of America
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus · Bold PAC
- Florida Democratic Party · Disabilities Issues Caucus
- Humane Society of the United States · Legislative Fund
- International Association of Fire Fighters · Local 2294
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers · Local 824
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters
- International Union of Operating Engineers
- J Street PAC
- Jewish Democratic Council of America
- League of Conservation Voters
- National Emergency Medicine (NEM) PAC
- National Republican Congressional Committee
- National Women's Political Caucus
- Planned Parenthood · Action Fund
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- Republican Main Street Partnership · PAC
- St. Petersburg · attorney and candidate for St. Petersburg city council in 2015
- Treasury · Cyphers, former federal investigator for the departments of Treasury and Labor
- United Association
- United Food and Commercial Workers
Celebrity5
Celebrity · 5
- Marianne Williamson · author, spiritual leader, and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate
- Alex Jones · far-right radio show host, political extremist and conspiracy theorist
- Anna Paulina Luna · director of Hispanic Engagement for Turning Point USA and U.S. Air Force veteran
- Palm Beach State College · r engineer and Palm Beach State College professor
- Roseanne Barr · actress
Newspapers1
Newspapers · 1
- South Florida Sun Sentinel
ICharleston Malkemus0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing —Charleston Malkemus
Receipts
$28.9K
Disburse
$28.6K
Cash on hand
$291.62
Debts
$27.6K
Top industries
Commercial banks$500
Commercial banks · $500
- Capital One · $500
Individuals $500 · PACs $0
Top contributors
CAPITAL ONE$500
Editorial ratings · 4 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe D4
Safe D · 4 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Jul 1
- FiveThirtyEight · Oct 14
- Inside Elections · Jun 1
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Jul 1
The Cook Political Report
Safe DFiveThirtyEight
Safe DInside Elections
Safe DSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE
Endorsements272 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks