Races · house · 2020 · Colorado
house · open seat
Diane Mitsch Bush vs Lauren Boebert
Where this race stands
VerifiedLean R · model 98% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+5) suggests Lean R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+13.0 with an 80% CI ranging from R+25.0 (10th pctile) to R+1.0 (90th pctile), giving R a 98% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · lean-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +13.0
80% CI: R +25.0 → R +1.0 · win prob 2%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+6.2 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 77 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yet77
Endorsements tracked
Diane Mitsch Bush0 · 0%
Lauren Boebert77 · 100%
Total77
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
RLauren Boebert77 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · former president of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
Elected officials44
Federal 8State 27Local 6
Elected officials · 44
- Barack Obama · former president of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)
- Donald Trump · President of the United States
- Tom Tancredo · former U.S. representative from CO-06, candidate for Governor of Colorado in 2010, candidate for President of the United States in 2008
- Pueblo, Colorado · Colorado City Council Vice President
- KC Becker · Speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives and former House Majority Leader
- Mike Callihan · former lieutenant governor of Colorado (1987-94)
- Jerry Sonnenberg · state senator from the 1st district (2015–)
- Ken Salazar · former United States Secretary of Interior (2009–2013), former U.S. Senator from Colorado (2005-09), and former Colorado Attorney General (1999–2005)
- Kerry Donovan · state Senator from the 5th District
- Mark Udall · former U.S. senator from Colorado (2009–2015) and former U.S. Representative (CO-02) (1999–2009)
- Owen Hill · former state senator from the 10th district (2013–2021)
- Ray Scott · state senator from the 7th district (2015–)
- Phil Weiser · Colorado Attorney General
- Bernie Buescher · former Colorado Secretary of State (2009-11) and former state representative
- Gail Schwartz · former state senator
- John Hickenlooper · former governor and 2020 candidate for Senate
- 2020 United States Senate election in Colorado · election in Colorado candidate
- Aspen · Ireland, former mayor of Aspen
- Basalt · ane, mayor of Basalt
- Carbondale · dson, mayor of Carbondale
- Claire Levy · former state representative
- Crested Butte · mayor pro-tempore of Crested Butte
- Daneya Esgar · state representative
- Diane Mitsch Bush · former state representative and nominee for Colorado's 3rd congressional district in 2018
- Donald Valdez · state representative
- Durango · ookie, mayor of Durango
- Dylan Roberts · state representative
- Edie Hooton · state representative
- Elise Stefanik · U.S. representative from NY-21
- Janet Buckner · state representative and Speaker Pro Tempore
- Janice Rich · state representative from the 55th district (2019–)
- Joann Ginal · state senator and former state representative
- Joe Salazar · former state representative
- John Salazar · former U.S. representative (CO-03) (2005-11) and former Agriculture Commissioner of Colorado (2011-14)
- Ken Buck · U.S. representative from CO-04
- Leroy Garcia · president of the Colorado Senate
- Matt Soper · state representative from the 54th district (2019–)
- Michael Bennet · Senator
- Mike McLachlan · former state representative and former Colorado Solicitor General
- Millie Hamner · former state representative
- Montrose · man, former mayor of Montrose
- Pete Lee · state senator and former state representative
- Sal Pace · former state representative
- state representative · lley, former state representative
Other18
Other · 18
- Alamosa County Commissioner · ty Commissioner
- Archuleta County Commissioner · ounty Commissioner
- Costilla County Commissioner · ounty Commissioner
- Dan Baer · former United States Ambassador to the OSCE (2013-17)
- Eagle County Commissioner · le County Commissioner
- Giffords
- Gunnison County Commissioner · on County Commissioner
- Huerfano County Commissioner · unty Commissioner
- Indivisible
- La Plata County Commissioner · y Commissioner
- Pitkin County Commissioner · Commissioner
- Pueblo Chieftain
- Pueblo County Commissioner · nty Commissioner
- Routt County Commissioner · outt County Commissioner
- San Luis · e Aragon, former San Luis Town Councilwoman
- San Miguel County · Miguel County Sheriff
- Sierra Club
- UNITE HERE · Local 23
Organizations10
Organizations · 10
- AFL-CIO · o AFL-CIO
- American Postal Workers Union · Denver Metro Area Local
- Club for Growth PAC
- International Union of Operating Engineers · Local 1
- League of Conservation Voters
- National Committee for an Effective Congress
- National Organization for Women · PAC
- Planned Parenthood · Action Fund
- Tea Party Express
- United Food and Commercial Workers Union · Local 7
Newspapers5
Newspapers · 5
- Aspen Daily News
- Denver Post
- Durango Herald
- Grand Junction Daily Sentinel · (suggested)
- The Durango Herald
DDiane Mitsch Bush0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20Diane Mitsch BushH8CO03192 ↗
Receipts
$5.1M
Disburse
$5.0M
Cash on hand
$28.5K
Debts
$1.0K
Top industries
Internet$69.9K
Internet · $69.9K
- Google · $44.6K
- Facebook · $14.1K
- Ski Time Square Management · $11.2K
Individuals $69.9K · PACs $0
Computers / electronics$51.6K
Computers / electronics · $51.6K
- Apple · $33.9K
- Salesforce · $8.9K
- Amazon · $8.8K
Individuals $51.6K · PACs $0
Education$17.1K
Education · $17.1K
- University of Colorado · $11.1K
- University of Denver · $6.0K
Individuals $17.1K · PACs $0
Govt employees$13.8K
Govt employees · $13.8K
- State of Colorado · $13.8K
Individuals $13.8K · PACs $0
Securities & investment$6.6K
Securities & investment · $6.6K
- Jane Street · $6.6K
Individuals $6.6K · PACs $0
Top contributors
GOOGLE$44.6K
APPLE$33.9K
FACEBOOK$14.1K
STATE OF COLORADO$13.8K
SKI TIME SQUARE MANAGEMENT$11.2K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$8.3M
D side
$513.0K · 6%
R side
$7.8M · 94%
Top spender
CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION super pac · boosts R
| R | $3.3M | 40% | against Diane Mitsch Bush |
| NRCC party · boosts R
| R | $2.6M | 32% | against Diane Mitsch Bush |
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $1.7M | 21% | against Diane Mitsch Bush |
| FAIR SHARE ACTION super pac · boosts D
| D | $219.1K | 3% | for Diane Mitsch Bush |
| NATIONAL IMMIGRANT VICTORY FUND super pac · boosts D
| D | $167.9K | 2% | for Diane Mitsch Bush |
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Tilt R1
Tilt R · 1 rater
- Inside Elections · Oct 28
Lean R2
Lean R · 2 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Sep 28
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Sep 2
The Cook Political Report
Lean RInside Elections
Tilt RSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-11-20
Endorsements77 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks