Races · house · 2020 · CA

house · open seat

Christine Bubser vs Jay Obernolte

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Safe D — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Safe D

safe-d

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-12-16

Total IE spending

$11K

For candidates

$11K

Against candidates

Latest filing: 12/16/2020
Source: FEC Schedule E

Christine Bubser (D)

$11K for · $0 against

Cash on hand

$1K

Total raised (cycle)

$1.9M

Total spent

$1.9M

Debts

$101K

Source: FEC

$5K for PLANNED PARENTHOOD OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES' COMMUNITY ACTION FUND PAC Super PAC
$3K for BEND THE ARC JEWISH ACTION INC PAC
$1K for POPULAR DEMOCRACY PAC Super PAC
$1K for COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC Super PAC
$166 for INDIVISIBLE ACTION Super PAC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago

Rating history (1 change)

5/6/2026 Safe D via pvi