Races · house · 2020 · CA

house · open seat

Phil Arballo vs Devin Nunes

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Tossup — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Tossup

tossup

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20

Total IE spending

$53K

For candidates

$737

Against candidates

$52K

Latest filing: 11/20/2020
Source: FEC Schedule E

Devin Nunes (R)

$737 for · $52K against

Cash on hand

$10.9M

Total raised (cycle)

$26.9M

Total spent

$20.2M

Debts

Source: FEC

$33K against END CITIZENS UNITED PAC
$16K against MAD DOG PAC PAC
$3K against CHANGE CONGRESS NOW/CAMBIO AL CONGRESO YA Super PAC
$737 for CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
$677 against FLIP THE WEST Super PAC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago

Rating history (1 change)

5/6/2026 Tossup via pvi