Races · house · 2020 · Alabama
house · open seat
Phyllis Harvey-Hall vs Barry Moore
Where this race stands
VerifiedLean D · model 95% D
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (D+5) suggests Lean D.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts D+9.6 with an 80% CI ranging from R+2.4 (10th pctile) to D+21.6 (90th pctile), giving D a 95% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · lean-d
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
D +9.6
80% CI: R +2.4 → D +21.6 · win prob 95%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+30.5 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 17 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yet17
Endorsements tracked
Phyllis Harvey-Hall0 · 0%
Barry Moore17 · 100%
Total17
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
RBarry Moore17 endorsers
Most notable · Rick Santorum · 2012 and 2016 Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (1995–2007) and U.S. Representative (PA-18) (1991–1995)
Elected officials7
Federal 5State 2Local 0
Elected officials · 7
- Rick Santorum · 2012 and 2016 Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (1995–2007) and U.S. Representative (PA-18) (1991–1995)
- Ted Cruz · U.S. senator from Texas and 2016 Republican presidential candidate
- Stephen Moore · economic adviser to the Donald Trump 2016 presidential campaign and co-founder and former president of the Club for Growth (1999–2004)
- Bill Roberts · former state representative (2010–2014)
- Bradley Byrne · U.S. representative (AL-01) and Republican candidate in the 2020 U.S. Senate election in Alabama
- Chris Pringle · state representative and 2020 Republican candidate in AL-01
- Gary Bauer · former U.S. Under Secretary of Education (1985–1987) and U.S. Deputy Under Secretary of Education (1982–1985)
Other7
Other · 7
- Averhart · 40–50%
- Carl · 40–50%
- Gardner · 70–80%
- Hightower · 40–50%
- Rick Neighbors
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce
- United States Chamber of Commerce
Organizations3
Organizations · 3
- Club for Growth · PAC
- Eagle Forum · PAC
- National Right to Life Committee
DPhyllis Harvey-Hall0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing —Phyllis Harvey-Hall
Receipts
$57.7K
Disburse
$57.7K
Cash on hand
$0
Debts
$5.7K
Top industries
Govt employees$400
Govt employees · $400
- Alabama State Department of Ed · $400
Individuals $400 · PACs $0
Top contributors
ALABAMA STATE DEPARTMENT OF ED$400
Editorial ratings · 3 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R3
Safe R · 3 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Nov 1
- Inside Elections · Oct 27
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 1
The Cook Political Report
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE
Endorsements17 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks