Republican primary · June 23, 2026
New York Governor Republican primary
Bruce Blakeman won the Republican primary on June 23, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Republican primary
Official outcome · June 23, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1Bruce BlakemanBruce Arthur Blakeman (born October 2, 1955) is an American attorney and politician currently serving as the 10th county executive of Nassau…
2Elise Stefanik
3Another candidate
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 11 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Blakeman | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 26 | John Zogby Strategies | — · unknown | 34 | — |
| Dec 15, 25 | Siena College | 176 · RV | 17 | — |
| Dec 11, 25 | Siena College | — · unknown | 17 | — |
| Nov 9, 25 | J.L. Partners | 400 · LV | 5 | — |
| Jun 25, 25 | Siena College | 800 · RV | 7 | — |
| Jun 19, 25 | co/efficient | 1,108 · LV | 6 | — |
| May 14, 25 | Siena College | 805 · RV | 11 | — |
| May 1, 25 | co/efficient | 1,163 · LV | 8 | — |
| Apr 23, 25 | Grayhouse | 400 · RV | 5 | — |
| Apr 15, 25 | Siena College | 802 · RV | 28 | — |
Endorsements · Republican primary · 10 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetBruce Blakeman · 10
RBruce Blakeman10 endorsers
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Elected officials6
Federal 2State 2Local 0
Elected officials · 6
- Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
- Edward F. Cox · chair of the New York Republican Party (2009–2019, 2023–present)
- Jerry Kassar · chair of the Conservative Party of New York State (2019–present)
- George Pataki · former governor of New York (1995–2006)
- Jenniffer González-Colón · governor of Puerto Rico (2025–present)
- Nick LaLota · NY-01 (2023–present)
Organizations4
Organizations · 4
- Clinton County · Republican Committee
- Conservative Party of New York State
- New York Republican State Committee
- Transport Workers Union · Locals 106 and 252
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing —No FEC committee filings yet for the Republican primary candidates. Most primary candidates file quarterly; if the primary is recent the data may take a few weeks to appear.
Demographic crosstabs
6 polls with subgroup data · general-election splitsAge
18-34D +35
58%23%
Age · 18-34
Democrat58%
Republican23%
Other / undecided19%
MarginD +35
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
35-54D +11
47%36%
Age · 35-54
Democrat47%
Republican36%
Other / undecided17%
MarginD +11
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
55+D +22
55%33%
Age · 55+
Democrat55%
Republican33%
Other / undecided12%
MarginD +22
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
Ideology
LibD +80
86%6%
Ideology · Lib
Democrat86%
Republican6%
Other / undecided8%
MarginD +80
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
ModD +27
53%26%
Ideology · Mod
Democrat53%
Republican26%
Other / undecided21%
MarginD +27
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
Income
$100KD +27
57%30%
Income · $100K
Democrat57%
Republican30%
Other / undecided13%
MarginD +27
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
Party
DemD +70
78%8%
Party · Dem
Democrat78%
Republican8%
Other / undecided14%
MarginD +70
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
RepR +67
12%79%
Party · Rep
Democrat12%
Republican79%
Other / undecided9%
MarginR +67
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
Race
OtherD +46
64%18%
Race · Other
Democrat64%
Republican18%
Other / undecided18%
MarginD +46
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
WhiteD +8
48%40%
Race · White
Democrat48%
Republican40%
Other / undecided12%
MarginD +8
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
Religion
JewishR +2
43%45%
Religion · Jewish
Democrat43%
Republican45%
Other / undecided12%
MarginR +2
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
In the news
40 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
60 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles60
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.08
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift −0.10 wk
Net favorability
Score+0.08
Week-over-weekshift −0.10 wk
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 10%
Neutral 88%
R 2%
12% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets10%
Neutral88%
R-leaning outlets2%
12% of outlets classified by editorial lean
N
Governor Hochul Announces Admission Tickets and Parking Vouchers for The 2026 Great New York State Fair Go On Sale July 7
G
Governor Hochul Announces $100 Million State Investment in Law Enforcement Technology and Equipment
H
Governor Hochul Announces Start of Construction for $167 Million Chelsea Beacon Redevelopment to Transform Former Vacant Bayview Correctional Facility
F
Gov. Hochul asks New Yorkers to conserve electricity during prolonged heat wave
C
TWU to Big Labor: don’t endorse Hochul
D
Governor Hochul Issues New Guidance to Implement Reforms Aimed at Lowering Auto Insurance Premiums For New Yorkers
C
Communications Workers of America District 1 Announces Endorsement of Kathy Hochul for Governor, Adrienne Adams for Lieutenant Governor, and Letitia James for Attorney General
1
Governor Hochul announces events in New York City for America’s 250th birthday
G
Governor Hochul Joins With Sail4th 250 and New York City, Navy and Coast Guard Officials to Detail Plans to Celebrate America’s 250th Birthday
H
Governor Hochul Announces $45.9 Million Funding Available to Develop Additional Supportive Housing Units Statewide
Page 1 of 4
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 11deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE
Endorsements222 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage40 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks