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Races · Governor · 2026 · New York · general · Republican primary
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PhasesShowing the Republican primary. Other views:general election·Democratic primary
Republican primary · June 23, 2026

New York Governor Republican primary

Bruce Blakeman won the Republican primary on June 23, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.

Primary passed· 11 polls
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 22d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Showing the Republican primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.

Primary result · Republican primary

Official outcome · June 23, 2026 · forecast shown for reference
1Bruce BlakemanBruce Arthur Blakeman (born October 2, 1955) is an American attorney and politician currently serving as the 10th county executive of Nassau…23.2%✓ Won
2Elise Stefanik52.4%
3Another candidate18.3%

Polling average

510152025303540BLAKEMAN 33.6APR '25NOV '25JUN '26
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 11 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popBlakemanLead
Jan 7, 26John Zogby Strategies · unknown34
Dec 15, 25Siena College176 · RV17
Dec 11, 25Siena College · unknown17
Nov 9, 25J.L. Partners400 · LV5
Jun 25, 25Siena College800 · RV7
Jun 19, 25co/efficient1,108 · LV6
May 14, 25Siena College805 · RV11
May 1, 25co/efficient1,163 · LV8
Apr 23, 25Grayhouse400 · RV5
Apr 15, 25Siena College802 · RV28
Mar 5, 25Siena College400 · RV13
· 11 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · Republican primary · 10 total

Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yet
10
Bruce Blakeman · 10
RBruce Blakeman10 endorsers
Most notable · Donald Trump · president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)
Elected officials6
Federal 2State 2Local 0
Organizations4

Money in this primary

FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing —

No FEC committee filings yet for the Republican primary candidates. Most primary candidates file quarterly; if the primary is recent the data may take a few weeks to appear.

Demographic crosstabs

6 polls with subgroup data · general-election splits
Siena College · field end 2026-06-23
Age
18-34D +35
58%23%
35-54D +11
47%36%
55+D +22
55%33%
Ideology
LibD +80
86%6%
ModD +27
53%26%
Income
$100KD +27
57%30%
Party
DemD +70
78%8%
RepR +67
12%79%
Race
OtherD +46
64%18%
WhiteD +8
48%40%
Religion
JewishR +2
43%45%

In the news

40 shown · last 30d · Google News
News volume · 30d
60 articles · building history
Net favorability
+0.08
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift −0.10 wk
Coverage tilt
D 10%
Neutral 88%
R 2%
12% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
N
nysfair.ny.gov · 2d ago
Governor Hochul Announces Admission Tickets and Parking Vouchers for The 2026 Great New York State Fair Go On Sale July 7
Neutral
G
governor.ny.gov · 2d ago
Governor Hochul Announces $100 Million State Investment in Law Enforcement Technology and Equipment
Neutral
H
hcr.ny.gov · 6d ago
Governor Hochul Announces Start of Construction for $167 Million Chelsea Beacon Redevelopment to Transform Former Vacant Bayview Correctional Facility
Neutral
F
fox5ny.com · 6d ago
Gov. Hochul asks New Yorkers to conserve electricity during prolonged heat wave
Neutral
C
cityandstateny.com · 7d ago
TWU to Big Labor: don’t endorse Hochul
Neutral
D
dfs.ny.gov · 7d ago
Governor Hochul Issues New Guidance to Implement Reforms Aimed at Lowering Auto Insurance Premiums For New Yorkers
Neutral
C
cwad1.org · 9d ago
Communications Workers of America District 1 Announces Endorsement of Kathy Hochul for Governor, Adrienne Adams for Lieutenant Governor, and Letitia James for Attorney General
Neutral
1
13wham.com · 10d ago
Governor Hochul announces events in New York City for America’s 250th birthday
Neutral
G
governor.ny.gov · 10d ago
Governor Hochul Joins With Sail4th 250 and New York City, Navy and Coast Guard Officials to Detail Plans to Celebrate America’s 250th Birthday
Neutral
H
hcr.ny.gov · 12d ago
Governor Hochul Announces $45.9 Million Funding Available to Develop Additional Supportive Housing Units Statewide
Neutral
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Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 11deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested2 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE
Endorsements222 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage40 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks