Primary
Washington Governor primary
Field of 3 candidates running on a single ballot (jungle / nonpartisan format). Top finishers advance to the general election on November 5, 2024.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Forecast · primary
From 9 polls · polling-only Monte Carlo1Bob FergusonRobert Watson Ferguson (born February 23, 1965) is an American attorney and politician serving since 2025 as the 24th governor of Washington…
2Dave ReichertDavid George Reichert ( / ˈ r aɪ k ər t / RY -kərt ; born August 29, 1950) is an American retired police officer and politician who served a…
↑ top 2 advance to November · ↓ eliminated
3Semi BirdThe 2024 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024. The top-two primary was held on August 6. Incumbent Democratic Gove…
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 9 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Ferguson | Reichert | Bird | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 24 | Public Policy Polling | 581 · LV | 39 | 28 | 10 | +11 |
| Jul 12, 24 | SurveyUSA | 564 · LV | 42 | 33 | 7 | +9 |
| May 22, 24 | RMG Research | 800 · RV | 33 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| May 15, 24 | Cascade PBS/Elway Research | 403 · RV | 22 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| May 15, 24 | Public Policy Polling | 615 · LV | 35 | 28 | 11 | +7 |
| Mar 20, 24 | Echelon Insights | 600 · RV | 23 | 28 | 7 | +5 |
| Feb 13, 24 | Public Policy Polling | 789 · LV | 35 | 27 | 9 | +8 |
| Dec 12, 23 | Echelon Insights | 500 · RV | 27 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| Nov 14, 23 | Public Policy Polling | 700 · LV | 31 | 31 | 10 | +0 |
Endorsements · primary · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 3 candidates with no endorsements yetDBob Ferguson0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RDave Reichert0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
RSemi Bird0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 9deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filings—no filings yet
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks