| 11/3/2018 | Research Co. | 1.01 | —(D+1.5) | 450 | ±4.6 | unknown | 🟡2745d old🔵bias D+1.5pt+1- 🟡
2745d old Poll was fielded 2745 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
bias D+1.5pt Across 49 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.5pt. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 53 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Scott Walker 44.0 · Tony Evers 45.0 | pollarch |
| 10/31/2018 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 604 | ±4.1 | unknown | 🟡2748d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2748d old Poll was fielded 2748 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| Scott Walker 46.0 · Tony Evers 51.0 | pollarch |
| 10/28/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 1154 | ±3.2 | LV | 🟡2751d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2751d old Poll was fielded 2751 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Scott Walker 47.0 · Tony Evers 47.0 · Phil Anderson 3.0 | pollarch |
| 10/18/2018 | Ipsos | 1.00 | —(R+1.9) | 1193 | ±3.0 | unknown | 🟡2761d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2761d old Poll was fielded 2761 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 16 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Scott Walker 45.0 · Tony Evers 48.0 | pollarch |
| 10/7/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 799 | ±3.9 | LV | 🟡2772d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2772d old Poll was fielded 2772 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Scott Walker 47.0 · Tony Evers 46.0 · Phil Anderson 5.0 | pollarch |
| 10/3/2018 | Marist College | 1.00 | —(D+2.4) | 571 | ±4.8 | LV | 🟡bias D+2.4pt🟡2776d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.4pt Across 20 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.4pt. - 🟡
2776d old Poll was fielded 2776 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 44 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Scott Walker 42.0 · Tony Evers 50.0 · Phil Anderson 3.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2018 | Ipsos | 1.00 | —(R+1.9) | 1109 | ±3.0 | unknown | 🟡2785d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2785d old Poll was fielded 2785 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 16 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Scott Walker 43.0 · Tony Evers 50.0 | pollarch |
| 9/16/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 614 | ±4.4 | LV | 🟡2793d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2793d old Poll was fielded 2793 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Scott Walker 44.0 · Tony Evers 49.0 · Phil Anderson 6.0 | pollarch |
| 9/5/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-High Ground Action Fund) | 1.00 | — | 726 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2804d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2804d old Poll was fielded 2804 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Scott Walker 45.0 · Tony Evers 49.0 | pollarch |
| 8/24/2018 | Suffolk University | 1.44 | neutral(D+0.1) | 500 | ±4.4 | unknown | 🟡2816d old🔵bias D+0.1pt+1- 🟡
2816d old Poll was fielded 2816 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
bias D+0.1pt Across 15 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+0.1pt. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 55 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Scott Walker 44.0 · Tony Evers 46.0 · Phil Anderson 2.0 | pollarch |
| 8/19/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 601 | ±4.5 | LV | 🟡2821d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2821d old Poll was fielded 2821 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Scott Walker 46.0 · Tony Evers 46.0 · Phil Anderson 6.0 | pollarch |
| 8/16/2018 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 596 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2824d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2824d old Poll was fielded 2824 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| Scott Walker 44.0 · Tony Evers 49.0 | pollarch |
| 7/28/2018 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 632 | ±4.2 | unknown | 🟡2843d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2843d old Poll was fielded 2843 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| Scott Walker 41.0 · Tony Evers 48.0 | pollarch |
| 7/19/2018 | Marist College | 1.00 | —(D+2.4) | 906 | ±3.8 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.4pt🟡2852d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.4pt Across 20 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.4pt. - 🟡
2852d old Poll was fielded 2852 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 44 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Scott Walker 41.0 · Tony Evers 54.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 800 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 48.0 · Tony Evers 44.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 800 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 48.0 · Kelda Roys 40.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 400 | ±5.6 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 46.0 · Matt Flynn 42.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 400 | ±5.6 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 44.0 · Mike McCabe 42.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 400 | ±5.6 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 45.0 · Mahlon Mitchell 41.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 400 | ±5.6 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 49.0 · Josh Pade 36.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 400 | ±5.6 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 48.0 · Paul Soglin 39.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 400 | ±5.6 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 48.0 · Kathleen Vinehout 39.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 400 | ±5.6 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 46.0 · Andy Gronik 41.0 | pollarch |
| 6/17/2018 | Marquette University | 1.00 | —(R+1.3) | 400 | ±5.6 | unknown | 🟡2884d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus- 🟡
2884d old Poll was fielded 2884 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 29 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Scott Walker 49.0 · Dana Wachs 38.0 | pollarch |
| 5/10/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-Evers) | 1.00 | — | 644 | ±3.9 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2922d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2922d old Poll was fielded 2922 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Scott Walker 45.0 · Tony Evers 49.0 | pollarch |
| 10/18/2017 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 1116 | ±2.9 | unknown | 🟡3126d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
3126d old Poll was fielded 3126 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| Scott Walker 43.0 | pollarch |