NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Pollster · 1156 of 1769

Muhlenberg/Morning Call ( report )

GRADE A+WEIGHT TIER T2NEUTRAL LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
1
Mean error
2.0 pt
Signed bias
R+1.98
Aggregation weight
1.29
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
limited data · tier · low-volume

Too few polls (1) for a confident composite score. The per-component bars below are shown for transparency, but with this little volume a high bar can come from a single poll — treat them as provisional, not a headline grade.

Aggregator weight65
Verification rate0
Sample size median46
Citation rate100
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment50
Recent activity
Total all time
9
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 10/30/2010 (5728d ago)· status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
CycleRankPollsMAESigned bias
2010#3 / 2193.10 ptR+1.98 pp
Recent polls