DecidedExecutive powerNo. 24-980
Trump v. Slaughter
Donald J. Trump, President of the United States v. Rebecca Kelly Slaughter
Argued Jun 29, 2026Lower —Decided Jun 29, 2026
The decision
Presidents may remove members of independent agencies at will, narrowing Humphrey’s Executor (1935).
WHY IT MATTERS · Removes a 91-year limit on presidential control of independent commissions (FTC, FCC, NLRB).
Majority · 6
“The executive Power is vested in a President — not in a committee of officers shielded from his control.”
Justice Kavanaugh, for the Court
RobertsThomasAlitoGorsuchKavanaughBarrett
Dissent · 3
“The Court today discards a precedent that has structured the federal government for ninety-one years.”
Justice Kagan, dissenting
SotomayorKaganJackson
The vote
How the nine lined up.
JA
Jackson
Dissent
SO
Sotomayor
Dissent
KA
Kagan
Dissent
C
Roberts
Majority
KA
Kavanaugh
Majority
BA
Barrett
Majority
GO
Gorsuch
Majority
AL
Alito
Majority
TH
Thomas
Majority
Public opinion · on the likely ruling
A familiar partisan split.
% who favor / oppose the ruling
ALL ADULTS
41% FAVOR54% OPPOSE
Republicans7221
Independents3458
Democrats986
Prediction markets on this case
All prediction markets →What the money says.
| Contract | Platform | Volume | 7d | Trend | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court rules for the President (removal upheld) | POLY | $188k | 0¢ | 100¢ |
INFORMATIONAL ONLY · NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE · CASE-OUTCOME MARKETS CAN BE THIN AND RESOLVE ON FUZZY CONTRACT WORDING.
Case timeline
Mar 2025
Slaughter removed
President fires the Democratic FTC commissioner before her term ends.
2025
Lower courts split
Removal blocked below; government seeks review.
Dec 2025
Argued
Several conservative justices suggest the Fed may be distinct.
Jun 29, 2026
Decided · 6–3
Kavanaugh writes for the Court; removal upheld.
DecidedExecutive power
Trump v. Slaughter
NO. 24-980 · DECIDED Jun 29, 2026
6–3
Opinion by Kavanaugh
The decision
Presidents may remove members of independent agencies at will, narrowing Humphrey’s Executor (1935).
WHY IT MATTERS · Removes a 91-year limit on presidential control of independent commissions (FTC, FCC, NLRB).
“The executive Power is vested in a President — not in a committee of officers shielded from his control.”
Justice Kavanaugh, for the Court
Markets on this case
POLY100¢
Court rules for the President (removal upheld)
0¢ 7d · $188k
What’s at stake
The decision narrows Humphrey’s Executor (1935) and lets a president remove members of independent commissions at will — reshaping the FTC, FCC, NLRB, SEC and beyond.