Awaiting decisionExecutive powerNo. 25-A301
Trump v. Cook
Argued Expedited · Apr 2026Lower D.C. Cir.
Question presented
May the President remove a Governor of the Federal Reserve Board other than “for cause,” and does the alleged mortgage misstatement qualify?
Predicted vote · estimated
5–4 Cook stays (est.).
Estimated from how each justice engaged at oral argument and our case model. These are projections — not leaks, and the Court routinely confounds them.
JA
Jackson
Uphold
SO
Sotomayor
Uphold
KA
Kagan
Uphold
C
Roberts
Uphold
KA
Kavanaugh
~ Lean uphold
BA
Barrett
Strike
GO
Gorsuch
Strike
AL
Alito
Strike
TH
Thomas
Strike
Awaiting decisionExecutive power
Trump v. Cook
NO. 25-A301 · ARGUED Expedited · Apr 2026
MARKET · UPHELD
38¢+4¢ 7d
PREDICTED
5–4 Cook stays (est.)
36% FAVOR55% OPPOSE
Question presented
May the President remove a Governor of the Federal Reserve Board other than “for cause,” and does the alleged mortgage misstatement qualify?