Awaiting decisionCivil rightsNo. 24-43
West Virginia v. B.P.J.
Argued Jan 13, 2026Lower 4th & 9th Cir.
Question presented
Do state laws limiting school sports teams to students of the corresponding biological sex violate Title IX or the Equal Protection Clause?
Predicted vote · estimated
6–3 uphold (est.).
Estimated from how each justice engaged at oral argument and our case model. These are projections — not leaks, and the Court routinely confounds them.
JA
Jackson
Uphold
SO
Sotomayor
Uphold
KA
Kagan
Uphold
C
Roberts
Strike
KA
Kavanaugh
Strike
BA
Barrett
Strike
GO
Gorsuch
Strike
AL
Alito
Strike
TH
Thomas
Strike
Awaiting decisionCivil rights
West Virginia v. B.P.J.
NO. 24-43 · ARGUED Jan 13, 2026
MARKET · UPHELD
71¢+2¢ 7d
PREDICTED
6–3 uphold (est.)
48% FAVOR46% OPPOSE
Question presented
Do state laws limiting school sports teams to students of the corresponding biological sex violate Title IX or the Equal Protection Clause?