Public domain
RepublicanRunning for MT-2 U.S. House · 2026
Troy Downing
Troy Bryan Downing is an American politician and businessman serving as a member of the U.S. House of Representatives for Montana's 2nd congressional district since 2025. A member of the Republican Party, he previously held the office of Montana state auditor from 2021 to 2025.
Born 1967 · Indio, California , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
92%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.8M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Downing's money comes from.
C+
48/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance58
29% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
35% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding35
65% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Downing did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted
Became Public Law No: 119-48.
2025
Became law
To amend the definition of an accredited investor to include individuals receiving advice from certain profess
Referred to the House Committee on Financial Services.
2026
Sponsored
To reauthorize the Fort Peck Reservation Rural Water System Act of 2000.
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources.
2026
Sponsored
Accelerating Forest Management Act
Subcommittee Hearings Held
2026
Sponsored
Dry-Redwater Regional Water Authorization Act
Referred to the House Committee on Natural Resources.
2026
Sponsored
PARTNERS Act of 2026
Referred to the Committee on Ways and Means, and in addition to the Committee on Energy and Commerce, for a period to be subsequently determined by th
2026
Sponsored
Native American Housing Assistance and Self-Determination Modernization Act of 2026
Sponsor introductory remarks on measure. (CR H3080)
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Downing votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Downing
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Right
Overall lean
84
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 591 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
96%voted with Republicans · 4% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2021Montana State Auditor
2021–2025
2025United States representative
since 2025
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$1.8M
Raised
$1.5M
Spent
$394k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
29% small (<$200)36% large indiv.35% PAC
35% in-state · 65% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Downing and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · MT-2 U.S. House
Troy Downing
Troy Bryan Downing is an American politician and businessman serving as a member of the U.S. House of Representatives for Montana's 2nd congressional district since 2025. A member of the Republican Party, he previously held the office of Montana state auditor from 2021 to 2025.
92%
Win prob
$1.8M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted
2025 · BECAME LAW
To amend the definition of an accredited investor to include individuals receiving advice from certain profess
2026 · SPONSORED
To reauthorize the Fort Peck Reservation Rural Water System Act of 2000.
2026 · SPONSORED
Accelerating Forest Management Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Dry-Redwater Regional Water Authorization Act
2026 · SPONSORED
PARTNERS Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Native American Housing Assistance and Self-Determination Modernization Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2021Montana State Auditor
2021–2025
2025United States representative
since 2025
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Downing's money comes from.
C+
48/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance58
29% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
35% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding35
65% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Downing votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Downing
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Right
Overall lean
84
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 591 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
96%voted with Republicans · 4% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.8M
Raised
$1.5M
Spent
$394k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
29% small (<$200)36% large indiv.35% PAC
35% in-state · 65% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)