Public domain
DemocratRunning for AK U.S. Senate · 2026
Mary Peltola
Mary Sattler Peltola (born August 31, 1973) is an American politician and former tribal judge who served as the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district from 2022 to 2025. A moderate Blue Dog Democrat , she previously served as a judge on the Orutsararmiut Native Council 's tribal court , executive director of the Kuskokwim River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission, Bethel city councilor, and member of the Alaska House of Representatives . As of 2025, Peltola is the most recent Democrat to have won or held statewide office in Alaska .
Born 1973 · Anchorage, Alaska , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Mary Peltola, a former U.S. representative for Alaska's at-large district (2022 to 2025), is running for U.S. Senate against Dan Sullivan. Polling shows the race roughly tied, with Peltola around 47% to Sullivan's about 46%. Market pricing gives her roughly a 60% chance of winning. She has raised approximately $9 million and previously served in the Alaska House of Representatives from 1999 to 2009.
46.6%
Polling average
our aggregate
60%
Win probability
market-implied
$8.7M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Peltola's money comes from.
B
68/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance86
43% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding11
89% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$11k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Peltola did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Fisheries Improvement and Seafood Health Act of 2024
Referred to the Subcommittee on Trade.
2024
Sponsored
Alaska Native Village Municipal Lands Restoration Act of 2023
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 720.
2023
Sponsored
Unrecognized Southeast Alaska Native Communities Recognition and Compensation Act
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 718.
2023
Sponsored
Alaska Native Settlement Trust Eligibility Act
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 708.
2023
Sponsored
Domestic Seafood Production Act
Referred to the Subcommittee on Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry.
2024
Sponsored
To amend title 38, United States Code, to establish a grant program for the transportation of veterans who res
Referred to the Subcommittee on Health.
2024
Sponsored
To amend title 10, United States Code, to provide for the membership of the Commandant of the Coast Guard on t
Referred to the Subcommittee on Coast Guard and Maritime Transportation.
2024
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Peltola votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Peltola
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
43
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 118TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
1999Member of the Alaska House of Representatives
1999–2009
2022United States representative
since 2022
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$8.7M
Raised
$2.9M
Spent
$5.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
43% small (<$200)51% large indiv.6% PAC
11% in-state · 89% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
NOT-EMPLOYED
$19k
GOOGLE
$17k
BAIN CAPITAL
$14k
THE COMMERCE COMPANY
$14k
FUTURE BEING LLC
$14k
Q PRIME, INC
$14k
Top industries · itemized $
Internet$17k
Securities & investment$14k
Computers / electronics$9k
Lawyers / law firms$9k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Peltola is running in.
AK · SENATE · 2026lean d
Peltola (D) vs Dan S. Sullivan (R)
46.6%+0.9 Peltola45.8%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Peltola and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Dustin Darden
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Ann Diener
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Dan Sullivan
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Mary Peltola
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Richard Grayson
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $40 · Dan Sullivan
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: LEAH HERMAN, HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
msn.com · 2026-07-07
DOJ launches investigation into Alaska candidate with same name as sitting senator
abcnews.com · 2026-07-04
DOJ launches investigation into Alaska candidate with same name as sitting senator
nbcnews.com · 2026-07-02
Exclusive: Dan Sullivan saga in Alaska Senate race under investigation
nbcnews.com · 2026-07-02
The Dan Sullivan saga in the Alaska Senate race is under investigation, sources say
Democrat · AK U.S. Senate
Mary Peltola
Mary Sattler Peltola (born August 31, 1973) is an American politician and former tribal judge who served as the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district from 2022 to 2025. A moderate Blue Dog Democrat , she previously served as a judge on the Orutsararmiut Native Council 's tribal court , executive director of the Kuskokwim River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission, Bethel city councilor, and member of the Alaska House of Representatives . As of 2025, Peltola is the most recent Democrat to have won or held statewide office in Alaska .
Where Peltola standsRace →
Peltola 46.6%Dan S. Sullivan 45.8%
Market · wins
60¢
46.6%
Poll avg
60%
Win prob
$8.7M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Mary Peltola, a former U.S. representative for Alaska's at-large district (2022 to 2025), is running for U.S. Senate against Dan Sullivan. Polling shows the race roughly tied, with Peltola around 47% to Sullivan's about 46%. Market pricing gives her roughly a 60% chance of winning. She has raised approximately $9 million and previously served in the Alaska House of Representatives from 1999 to 2009.
Governing & voting record
Fisheries Improvement and Seafood Health Act of 2024
2024 · SPONSORED
Alaska Native Village Municipal Lands Restoration Act of 2023
2023 · SPONSORED
Unrecognized Southeast Alaska Native Communities Recognition and Compensation Act
2023 · SPONSORED
Alaska Native Settlement Trust Eligibility Act
2023 · SPONSORED
Domestic Seafood Production Act
2024 · SPONSORED
To amend title 38, United States Code, to establish a grant program for the transportation of veterans who res
2024 · SPONSORED
To amend title 10, United States Code, to provide for the membership of the Commandant of the Coast Guard on t
2024 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
1999Member of the Alaska House of Representatives
1999–2009
2022United States representative
since 2022
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Peltola's money comes from.
B
68/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance86
43% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding11
89% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$11k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Peltola votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Peltola
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
43
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 118TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$8.7M
Raised
$2.9M
Spent
$5.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
43% small (<$200)51% large indiv.6% PAC
11% in-state · 89% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Internet$17k
Securities & investment$14k
Computers / electronics$9k
Lawyers / law firms$9k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Dustin Darden
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Ann Diener
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Dan Sullivan
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Mary Peltola
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Richard Grayson
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $40 · Dan Sullivan
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: LEAH HERMAN, HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)