NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new ↗·Methodology·Send feedback
DDR
RepublicanRunning for GA U.S. Senate · 2026
Derek Dooley
Derek Dooley ( Republican Party ) is running for election to the U.S. Senate to represent Georgia. He is on the ballot in the Republican primary runoff on June 16, 2026 . He advanced from the Republican primary on May 19, 2026 .
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Derek Dooley is a Republican candidate running for U.S. Senate from Georgia. He advanced from the Republican primary to the runoff held on June 16, 2026. Prediction markets place him at approximately 10% win probability overall. He has raised roughly $4 million for his campaign.
14%
Win probability
market-implied
$4.2M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mix
Who Dooley's money comes from.
C+
52/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence96
1% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding57
43% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure50
$4.2M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date
Who funds the campaign.
$4.2M
Raised
$2.5M
Spent
$1.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)96% large indiv.1% PAC
57% in-state · 43% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
DAVISON TRANSPORT
$51k
CENTEGIX
$31k
ARCH ORTHOPEDIC AND SPINE
$30k
WHITCO ROOFING, INC.
$28k
LIBERTY HOUSE
$28k
DALLAS COWBOYS
$28k
Top industries · itemized $
Pharma / health products$28k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-27 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Derek Dooley ( Republican Party ) is running for election to the U.S. Senate to represent Georgia. He is on the ballot in the Republican primary runoff on June 16, 2026 . He advanced from the Republican primary on May 19, 2026 .
14%
Win prob
$4.2M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Derek Dooley is a Republican candidate running for U.S. Senate from Georgia. He advanced from the Republican primary to the runoff held on June 16, 2026. Prediction markets place him at approximately 10% win probability overall. He has raised roughly $4 million for his campaign.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Dooley's money comes from.
C+
52/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence96
1% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding57
43% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure50
$4.2M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$4.2M
Raised
$2.5M
Spent
$1.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)96% large indiv.1% PAC
57% in-state · 43% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Pharma / health products$28k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-27 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗