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Photo of Dan OsbornI
CC BY 4.0
IndependentRunning for NE U.S. Senate · 2026

Dan Osborn

Daniel L. Osborn (born March 29, 1975) is a U.S. Navy veteran, industrial mechanic , former labor union leader , and independent politician from Nebraska .
Born 1975 · Omaha, Nebraska , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03

Dan Osborn, a U.S. Navy veteran, industrial mechanic, and former labor union leader, is running as an independent for Nebraska's U.S. Senate seat against Pete Ricketts. Polling has the race effectively tied, with both around 47%, while betting markets put his win probability at roughly 30%. He has raised approximately $4 million for the campaign.

47%
Polling average
our aggregate
33%
Win probability
market-implied
$3.9M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mix

Who Osborn's money comes from.

B+
73/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance82
41% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence92
2% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding17
83% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$122 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date

Who funds the campaign.

$3.9M
Raised
$2.8M
Spent
$1.1M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
41% small (<$200)57% large indiv.2% PAC
17% in-state · 83% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
CLIFFORD LAW OFFICES
$18k
GOOGLE, LLC
$18k
SALVI, SCHOSTOK & PRITCHARD, PC
$16k
CUNY
$14k
GIVE FORWARD FOUNDATION
$14k
ROBERT W. DEUTSCH FOUNDATION
$14k
Top industries · itemized $
Lawyers / law firms$28k
Internet$18k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-22 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race

The contest Osborn is running in.

NE · SENATE · 2026likely r
Osborn (I) vs Pete Ricketts (R)
47%+0.0 Osborn47%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Osborn and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: RAMSEYWILL · CC BY 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
N
nytimes.com · 2026-07-02
Nebraska U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
K
ketv.com · 2026-07-01
2026 Nebraska Election: Races, registration and important dates
N
nebraskapublicmedia.org · 2026-06-28
Nebraska Democrats warn of new political party for spoiler candidates
N
nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
Nebraska Second Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
Photo of Dan OsbornI
Independent · NE U.S. Senate

Dan Osborn

Daniel L. Osborn (born March 29, 1975) is a U.S. Navy veteran, industrial mechanic , former labor union leader , and independent politician from Nebraska .

Where Osborn standsRace →
Osborn 47%Pete Ricketts 47%
Market · wins
33¢
47%
Poll avg
33%
Win prob
$3.9M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03

Dan Osborn, a U.S. Navy veteran, industrial mechanic, and former labor union leader, is running as an independent for Nebraska's U.S. Senate seat against Pete Ricketts. Polling has the race effectively tied, with both around 47%, while betting markets put his win probability at roughly 30%. He has raised approximately $4 million for the campaign.

Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard

Who Osborn's money comes from.

B+
73/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance82
41% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence92
2% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding17
83% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$122 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.9M
Raised
$2.8M
Spent
$1.1M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
41% small (<$200)57% large indiv.2% PAC
17% in-state · 83% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Lawyers / law firms$28k
Internet$18k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-22 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
NE · SENATE · 2026likely r
Osborn (I) vs Pete Ricketts (R)
47%+0.0 Osborn47%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: RAMSEYWILL · CC BY 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)