Public domain
RepublicanRunning for MN-1 U.S. House · 2026
Brad Finstad
Bradley Howard Finstad is an American politician serving since 2022 as the U.S. representative for Minnesota's 1st congressional district. Finstad represents a section of southern Minnesota along the border with Iowa. A member of the Republican Party, he served in the Minnesota House of Representatives from 2003 to 2009.
Born 1976 · New Ulm, Minnesota , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Brad Finstad is the U.S. representative for Minnesota's 1st congressional district, first elected in 2022, and is seeking re-election. In polling, he leads opponent Jake Johnson, with about 51% support to Johnson's roughly 42%. Finstad previously served in the Minnesota House of Representatives from 2003 to 2009. He has raised around $1.4 million, and prediction markets give him about a 70% win probability.
50.9%
Polling average
our aggregate
70%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.4M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Finstad's money comes from.
C+
48/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance18
9% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
51% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding75
25% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Finstad did in office.
MeasureYearAction
To establish the National Fraud Enforcement Division of the Department of Justice.
Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.
2026
Sponsored
SBA Artificial Intelligence Utilization Act of 2026
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship.
2026
Sponsored
Veteran Burial Benefit Correction Act
Referred to the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 200 1st Avenue Southeast in Austin, M
Referred to the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform.
2026
Sponsored
Expressing support for continued efforts to safeguard Medicare, Medicaid, and other Federal health care progra
Referred to the Committee on Energy and Commerce, and in addition to the Committee on Ways and Means, for a period to be subsequently determined by th
2026
Sponsored
National Guard Relief Act
Referred to the House Committee on Armed Services.
2026
Sponsored
Expressing support for the designation of the week of May 3 through May 9, 2026, as "National Small Business W
Referred to the House Committee on Small Business.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Finstad votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Finstad
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
78
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 587 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
99%voted with Republicans · 1% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2003Member of the Minnesota House of Representatives
2003–2009
2022United States representative
since 2022
—Member of the Minnesota House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$1.4M
Raised
$600k
Spent
$834k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
9% small (<$200)40% large indiv.51% PAC
75% in-state · 25% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Finstad is running in.
MN · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Finstad (R) vs Jake Johnson (D)
50.9%+9.1 Finstad41.8%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Finstad and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
Minnesota U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
wdio.com · 2026-06-18
SurveyUSA poll shows multiple endorsed candidates fall behind in Minnesota primary races
startribune.com · 2026-06-18
The four biggest takeaways from the Minnesota Poll
kare11.com · 2026-06-15
Minnesota Poll: DFL leads for governor, senate, but undecided voters still a factor
Republican · MN-1 U.S. House
Brad Finstad
Bradley Howard Finstad is an American politician serving since 2022 as the U.S. representative for Minnesota's 1st congressional district. Finstad represents a section of southern Minnesota along the border with Iowa. A member of the Republican Party, he served in the Minnesota House of Representatives from 2003 to 2009.
Where Finstad standsRace →
Finstad 50.9%Jake Johnson 41.8%
Market · wins
70¢
50.9%
Poll avg
70%
Win prob
$1.4M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Brad Finstad is the U.S. representative for Minnesota's 1st congressional district, first elected in 2022, and is seeking re-election. In polling, he leads opponent Jake Johnson, with about 51% support to Johnson's roughly 42%. Finstad previously served in the Minnesota House of Representatives from 2003 to 2009. He has raised around $1.4 million, and prediction markets give him about a 70% win probability.
Governing & voting record
To establish the National Fraud Enforcement Division of the Department of Justice.
2026 · SPONSORED
SBA Artificial Intelligence Utilization Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Veteran Burial Benefit Correction Act
2026 · SPONSORED
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 200 1st Avenue Southeast in Austin, M
2026 · SPONSORED
Expressing support for continued efforts to safeguard Medicare, Medicaid, and other Federal health care progra
2026 · SPONSORED
National Guard Relief Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Expressing support for the designation of the week of May 3 through May 9, 2026, as "National Small Business W
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2003Member of the Minnesota House of Representatives
2003–2009
2022United States representative
since 2022
—Member of the Minnesota House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Finstad's money comes from.
C+
48/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance18
9% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
51% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding75
25% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Finstad votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Finstad
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
78
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 587 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
99%voted with Republicans · 1% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.4M
Raised
$600k
Spent
$834k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
9% small (<$200)40% large indiv.51% PAC
75% in-state · 25% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)