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Photo of Aaron GiesD
CC BY-SA 4.0
DemocratRunning for NY-26 U.S. House · 2026

Aaron Gies

Aaron Brooking Dessner (born April 23, 1976) is an American musician. He is best known as a founding member of the rock band the National , with whom he has recorded ten studio albums; a co-founder of the indie rock duo Big Red Machine , teaming with Bon Iver 's Justin Vernon ; and a collaborator on Taylor Swift 's critically acclaimed studio albums Folklore and Evermore , both of which contended for the Grammy Award for Album of the Year in 2021 and 2022 , respectively, with the former winning the accolade; as well as The Tortured Poets Department (2024).
Born 1976 · Cincinnati , Ohio, U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

Aaron Dessner, founding member of the rock band The National and collaborator on Taylor Swift's Folklore, Evermore, and The Tortured Poets Department, won the Democratic primary for New York's 26th House seat. Market forecasts indicate about a 90% chance of winning the general election, with the race rated likely Democratic.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race

The contest Gies is running in.

NY · HOUSE · 2026likely d
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Gies and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: KIM METSO · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Photo of Aaron GiesD
Democrat · NY-26 U.S. House

Aaron Gies

Aaron Brooking Dessner (born April 23, 1976) is an American musician. He is best known as a founding member of the rock band the National , with whom he has recorded ten studio albums; a co-founder of the indie rock duo Big Red Machine , teaming with Bon Iver 's Justin Vernon ; and a collaborator on Taylor Swift 's critically acclaimed studio albums Folklore and Evermore , both of which contended for the Grammy Award for Album of the Year in 2021 and 2022 , respectively, with the former winning the accolade; as well as The Tortured Poets Department (2024).

94%
Win prob
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

Aaron Dessner, founding member of the rock band The National and collaborator on Taylor Swift's Folklore, Evermore, and The Tortured Poets Department, won the Democratic primary for New York's 26th House seat. Market forecasts indicate about a 90% chance of winning the general election, with the race rated likely Democratic.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race
NY · HOUSE · 2026likely d
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: KIM METSO · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)