Races · house · 2018 · CA
house · open seat

Julia Brownley vs Antonio Sabàto Jr.

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Likely D — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Likely D

likely-d

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-10-30
Total IE spending
$47K
For candidates
$47K
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 10/30/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Julia Brownley (D)
$47K for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$2.5M
Total raised (cycle)
$2.6M
Total spent
$1.8M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/7/2026 Likely D via pvi