Races · house · 2018 · CA
house · open seat

Bryan Caforio vs Steve Knight

← CA house CA house →
Tilt D — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Tilt D

tilt-d

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-12-21
Total IE spending
$5.1M
For candidates
$4.8M
Against candidates
$235K
Latest filing: 12/21/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
County Hill (D)
$2.4M for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$65K
Total raised (cycle)
$8.6M
Total spent
$8.5M
Debts
$1K
Source: FEC
Katie Hill (D)
$2.4M for · $0 against
Steve Knight (R)
$0 for · $235K against
Cash on hand
$33K
Total raised (cycle)
$2.6M
Total spent
$2.6M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
Bryan Caforio (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$76
Total raised (cycle)
$1.2M
Total spent
$1.2M
Debts
$96K
Source: FEC
Jess Phoenix (?)
$0 for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$39
Total raised (cycle)
$495K
Total spent
$495K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/7/2026 Tilt D via pvi