Races · house · 2018 · MN

house · open seat

Minnesota house

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Likely R — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Likely R

likely-r

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-11-03

Total IE spending

$46K

For candidates

$45K

Against candidates

$862

Latest filing: 11/3/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E

Tom Emmer (R)

$45K for · $862 against

Cash on hand

$182K

Total raised (cycle)

$2.2M

Total spent

$2.2M

Debts

Source: FEC

$12K for AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) Super PAC
$11K for CD6 GOP FEDERAL COMMITTEE Party
$10K for RIGHT NOW USA Super PAC
$6K for SAFARI CLUB INTERNATIONAL PAC (SCI-PAC) PAC
$4K for HUNTER ACTION FUND (HAF) Super PAC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago

Rating history (1 change)

5/7/2026 Likely R via pvi