Races · house · 2018 · MI
house · open seat
Elissa Slotkin vs Mike Bishop
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tossup
tossup
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-12-12Total IE spending
$15.3M
For candidates
$3.3M
Against candidates
$12.0M
Latest filing: 12/12/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Mike Bishop (R)
$3.3M for ·
$12.0M against
Cash on hand
$111K
Total raised (cycle)
$3.4M
Total spent
$3.4M
Debts
$54K
Source: FEC
- $5.4M against DCCC Party
- $3.0M for MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTY Party
- $2.2M against LCV VICTORY FUND Super PAC
- $1.9M against END CITIZENS UNITED PAC
- $1.5M against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/7/2026 Tossup via pvi