Races · house · 2018 · MI
house · open seat
Matt Morgan vs Jack Bergman
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely R
likely-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-11-26Total IE spending
$320K
For candidates
$102K
Against candidates
$218K
Latest filing: 11/26/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Jack Bergman (R)
$101K for ·
$218K against
Cash on hand
$5K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.4M
Total spent
$1.4M
Debts
$289K
Source: FEC
- $217K against GREAT LAKES, GREAT JOBS Super PAC
- $99K for MICHIGAN REPUBLICAN PARTY Party
- $2K for NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND Super PAC
- $862 against EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY ACTION FUND PAC
- $242 for RIGHT TO LIFE OF MICHIGAN VICTORY FUND Super PAC
Matt Morgan (D)
$275 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$13K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.4M
Total spent
$1.4M
Debts
$39K
Source: FEC
- $193 for WORKING MICHIGAN (SUPERPAC) Super PAC
- $72 for PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Super PAC
- $10 for SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/7/2026 Likely R via pvi