Races · house · 2018 · IN
house · open seat
Liz Watson vs Trey Hollingsworth
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Safe R
safe-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-12-17Total IE spending
$466K
For candidates
$149K
Against candidates
$316K
Latest filing: 12/17/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
$6K for ·
$316K against
Cash on hand
$7K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.5M
Total spent
$1.5M
Debts
$617K
Source: FEC
- $315K against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $6K for NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND PAC
- $862 against EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY ACTION FUND PAC
Liz Watson (D)
$143K for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$17K
Total raised (cycle)
$2.5M
Total spent
$2.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $98K for MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION Super PAC
- $33K for PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT PAC
- $6K for CREATIVE MAJORITY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE Super PAC
- $4K for MOMSRISING TOGETHER PAC
- $605 for INDIVISIBLE PROJECT INC. PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/7/2026 Safe R via pvi